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Pafos vs Apollon Limassol

Cyprus Cyprus

Cyprus League 2025/2026 Stelios Kyriakides Stadium, Pafos
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Quina D.
35' Event
Ljubic I.
46'
Sub
Zmrhal J. In: Malekkidis G.
Out: Zmrhal J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Cyprus League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Pafos
35%
Draws
24%
Apollon Limassol
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Pafos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Apollon Limassol have won more games recently than Pafos.
  • Win probability leans Pafos's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Pafos Clean Sheet 68%
Apollon Limassol Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pafos Apollon Limassol
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 14
Draws 9 9
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.73 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2026 Cyprus Cup
Apollon Limassol vs Pafos
0:2
May 3, 2026 Cyprus League
Apollon Limassol vs Pafos
2:1
Mar 22, 2026 Cyprus League
Pafos vs Apollon Limassol
1:1
Jan 4, 2026 Cyprus League
Apollon Limassol vs Pafos
2:1
Sep 13, 2025 Cyprus League
Pafos vs Apollon Limassol
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pafos Compare

Top Goalscorer Quina D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Apollon Limassol Compare

Top Goalscorer Ljubic I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pafos 95 / 100
Apollon Limassol 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pafos Apollon Limassol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pafos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pafos's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Apollon Limassol's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Pafos remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Pafos VS Apollon Limassol
2 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Pafos

(Home)
18 Sept
Pafos
0 : 2
AEL Limassol
13 Sept
AEK Larnaca
0 : 1
Pafos
07 Sept
Pafos
0 : 0
Ol. Nicosia
03 Sept
Omonia
0 : 1
Pafos
30 Aug
Karmiotissa
0 : 3
Pafos
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Apollon Limassol

(Away)
19 Sept
Apollon Limassol
2 : 2
APOEL
12 Sept
Omonia
0 : 0
Apollon Limassol
05 Sept
Apollon Limassol
3 : 1
Anorthosis
29 Aug
Aris Limassol
2 : 2
Apollon Limassol
22 Aug
Nea Salamis
3 : 1
Apollon Limassol
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Omonia 36 27 6 3 88:24 87
2 AEK Larnaca 36 20 9 7 62:33 69
3 Apollon Limassol 36 20 7 9 52:41 67
4 Pafos 36 18 8 10 66:38 62
5 APOEL 36 15 7 14 53:45 52
6 Aris Limassol 36 14 9 13 61:45 51
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)