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Pafos vs Aris Limassol - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Cyprus Cyprus

Cyprus League Stelios Kyriakides Stadium, Pafos
Sun, Nov 29, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pafos host Aris Limassol in the Cyprus League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Pafos at 1.53 goals for, 1.13 against; Aris Limassol at 1.57 for, 1.47 against. Past meetings favor Pafos slightly — 3-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 10, 2026, ending 2:0. xG projections (0.94 - 1.56) back Pafos to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Pafos
35%
Draws
50%
Aris Limassol
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Aris Limassol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pafos come out ahead of Aris Limassol on wins alone.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Aris Limassol taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Pafos Clean Sheet 15%
Aris Limassol Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pafos Aris Limassol
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 11 10
Draws 12 8
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.53 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Cyprus League
Pafos vs Aris Limassol
2:0
Apr 14, 2026 Cyprus League
Aris Limassol vs Pafos
1:1
Mar 1, 2026 Cyprus League
Aris Limassol vs Pafos
2:2
Nov 21, 2025 Cyprus League
Pafos vs Aris Limassol
2:1
May 4, 2025 Cyprus League
Pafos vs Aris Limassol
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pafos 15 / 100
Aris Limassol 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pafos Aris Limassol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aris Limassol Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Pafos scored in 69% of their last 32 outings.

Defensive concern: Aris Limassol conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Pafos remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Pafos VS Aris Limassol
1 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Pafos

(Home)
31 Oct
Apollon Limassol
2 : 2
Pafos
26 Oct
Nea Salamis
0 : 0
Pafos
22 Oct
Pafos
1 : 1
Riga FC
19 Oct
Pafos
0 : 0
APOEL
15 Oct
Atalanta
3 : 1
Pafos
Page 1 of 7

Aris Limassol

(Away)
01 Nov
Aris Limassol
2 : 1
Anorthosis
25 Oct
AEL Limassol
1 : 3
Aris Limassol
18 Oct
Aris Limassol
1 : 1
AEK Larnaca
14 Oct
Aris Limassol
4 : 0
Achnas
11 Oct
Ol. Nicosia
1 : 2
Aris Limassol
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AEK Larnaca 8 5 2 1 15:7 17
2 Apollon Limassol 8 4 4 0 21:10 16
3 Omonia 8 4 3 1 15:6 15
4 Aris Limassol 8 4 3 1 12:10 15
5 AEL Limassol 8 5 0 3 11:13 15
6 APOEL 8 4 2 2 18:10 14
7 Pafos 8 3 4 1 9:5 13
8 Omonia 29th May 8 3 2 3 13:13 11
9 Karmiotissa 8 1 3 4 5:16 6
10 Anorthosis 8 2 0 6 7:15 6
11 Omonia Aradippou 8 1 3 4 5:10 6
12 Ol. Nicosia 8 0 6 2 11:13 6
13 Nea Salamis 8 1 2 5 11:16 5
14 Krasava 8 1 2 5 8:17 5
Promotion - Cyprus League (Championship Group)
Relegation - Cyprus League (Relegation Group)