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Pafos vs Ol. Nicosia

Cyprus Cyprus

Cyprus League Stelios Kyriakides Stadium, Pafos
Our Tip

Match Events

37'
Tamas M.
46'
Sub
Lolis A. In: Jean Felipe
Out: Lolis A.
54'
Sub
Vrikkis A. In: Savva Z.
Out: Vrikkis A.

AI Match Summary

The Cyprus League game between Pafos and Ol. Nicosia finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Pafos
35%
Draws
22%
Ol. Nicosia
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Pafos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pafos come out ahead of Ol. Nicosia on wins alone.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Pafos taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Pafos Clean Sheet 14%
Ol. Nicosia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pafos Ol. Nicosia
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 8
Draws 9 10
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.68 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.60
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2026 Cyprus League
Pafos vs Ol. Nicosia
0:0
Jan 17, 2026 Cyprus League
Ol. Nicosia vs Pafos
2:0
Sep 27, 2025 Cyprus League
Pafos vs Ol. Nicosia
2:1
Jan 18, 2024 Cyprus Cup
Ol. Nicosia vs Pafos
0:1
Mar 7, 2023 Cyprus League
Ol. Nicosia vs Pafos
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pafos 75 / 100
Ol. Nicosia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pafos Ol. Nicosia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pafos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pafos scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Ol. Nicosia has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Pafos went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pafos VS Ol. Nicosia
1.38 Goals Scored 1.83
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 83%
50% Over 2.5 67%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Pafos

(Home)
18 Sept
Pafos
0 : 2
AEL Limassol
13 Sept
AEK Larnaca
0 : 1
Pafos
07 Sept
Pafos
0 : 0
Ol. Nicosia
03 Sept
Omonia
0 : 1
Pafos
30 Aug
Karmiotissa
0 : 3
Pafos
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Ol. Nicosia

(Away)
20 Sept
Omonia Aradippou
1 : 1
Ol. Nicosia
13 Sept
Ol. Nicosia
3 : 3
Omonia 29th May
07 Sept
Pafos
0 : 0
Ol. Nicosia
28 Aug
Ol. Nicosia
3 : 3
Nea Salamis
22 Aug
Ol. Nicosia
3 : 3
APOEL
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AEK Larnaca 4 3 0 1 9:4 9
2 AEL Limassol 4 3 0 1 6:7 9
3 Omonia 4 2 2 0 8:2 8
4 Pafos 4 2 1 1 4:2 7
5 Apollon Limassol 4 1 3 0 7:5 6
6 Omonia Aradippou 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
7 Omonia 29th May 4 1 2 1 9:7 5
8 Aris Limassol 4 1 2 1 4:6 5
9 APOEL 4 1 1 2 10:7 4
10 Ol. Nicosia 4 0 4 0 7:7 4
11 Nea Salamis 4 1 1 2 8:9 4
12 Karmiotissa 4 0 3 1 3:6 3
13 Anorthosis 4 1 0 3 3:9 3
14 Krasava 4 0 0 4 2:10 0
Promotion - Cyprus League (Championship Group)
Relegation - Cyprus League (Relegation Group)