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Stadium Background

Pafos vs Omonia

Cyprus Cyprus

Cyprus League 2025/2026 Stelios Kyriakides Stadium, Pafos
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Match Events

30'
Maric M.
43'
Odubajo M.
46'
Sub
Maric M. In: Erakovic N.
Out: Maric M.

AI Match Summary

Omonia in this Cyprus League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Omonia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Pafos
20%
Draws
40%
Omonia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Omonia have won more games recently than Pafos.
  • Win probability leans Pafos's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Omonia here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Pafos Clean Sheet 20%
Omonia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pafos Omonia
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 18
Draws 9 8
Losses 8 4
Goals Scored 1.74 1.8
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 3, 2026 Super Cup
Omonia vs Pafos
0:1
May 6, 2026 Cyprus League
Pafos vs Omonia
0:2
Apr 4, 2026 Cyprus League
Omonia vs Pafos
2:0
Feb 8, 2026 Cyprus League
Pafos vs Omonia
2:4
Oct 27, 2025 Cyprus League
Omonia vs Pafos
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pafos Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Omonia Compare

Top Goalscorer Neofytou A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chatzigiovanis A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pafos 36 / 100
Omonia 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pafos Omonia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pafos's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Pafos remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Omonia let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Pafos VS Omonia
2 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pafos

(Home)
18 Sept
Pafos
0 : 2
AEL Limassol
13 Sept
AEK Larnaca
0 : 1
Pafos
07 Sept
Pafos
0 : 0
Ol. Nicosia
03 Sept
Omonia
0 : 1
Pafos
30 Aug
Karmiotissa
0 : 3
Pafos
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Omonia

(Away)
20 Sept
Omonia
4 : 1
Krasava
16 Sept
Omonia
1 : 0
Celta Vigo
12 Sept
Omonia
0 : 0
Apollon Limassol
07 Sept
Aris Limassol
1 : 4
Omonia
03 Sept
Omonia
0 : 1
Pafos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Omonia 36 27 6 3 88:24 87
2 AEK Larnaca 36 20 9 7 62:33 69
3 Apollon Limassol 36 20 7 9 52:41 67
4 Pafos 36 18 8 10 66:38 62
5 APOEL 36 15 7 14 53:45 52
6 Aris Limassol 36 14 9 13 61:45 51
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)