Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pafos vs Omonia

Cyprus Cyprus

Cyprus League 2025/2026 Stelios Kyriakides Stadium, Pafos
Our Tip

Match Events

30'
Maric M.
43'
Odubajo M.
46'
Sub
Maric M. In: Erakovic N.
Out: Maric M.

AI Match Summary

Omonia in this Cyprus League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Omonia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Pafos
20%
Draws
38%
Omonia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pafos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Omonia have won more games recently than Pafos.
  • Win probability leans Pafos's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Omonia here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Pafos Clean Sheet 15%
Omonia Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pafos Omonia
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 19
Draws 8 5
Losses 8 5
Goals Scored 1.25 2
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 Cyprus League
Pafos vs Omonia
0:2
Apr 4, 2026 Cyprus League
Omonia vs Pafos
2:0
Feb 8, 2026 Cyprus League
Pafos vs Omonia
2:4
Oct 27, 2025 Cyprus League
Omonia vs Pafos
2:1
Apr 26, 2025 Cyprus League
Omonia vs Pafos
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pafos Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Omonia Compare

Top Goalscorer Neofytou A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chatzigiovanis A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pafos 41 / 100
Omonia 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pafos Omonia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Pafos's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Omonia conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.

Pafos went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pafos VS Omonia
1.25 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pafos

(Home)
30 Jul
Pafos
4 : 0
Hajduk Split
23 Jul
Hajduk Split
2 : 0
Pafos
16 Jul
Slovan Bratislava
3 : 2
Pafos
12 Jul
Jagiellonia
1 : 0
Pafos
08 Jul
Jablonec
0 : 0
Pafos
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Omonia

(Away)
29 Jul
Kairat Almaty
2 : 0
Omonia
22 Jul
Omonia
1 : 0
Kairat Almaty
16 Jul
Omonia
2 : 1
Panetolikos
09 Jul
Korona Kielce
0 : 0
Omonia
05 Jul
Omonia
2 : 2
H. Beer Sheva
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Omonia36276388:2487
2AEK Larnaca36209762:3369
3Apollon Limassol36207952:4167
4Pafos361881066:3862
5APOEL361571453:4552
6Aris Limassol361491361:4551
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)