Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pafos vs Salzburg

Europe Europe

Europa League Alphamega Stadium, Limassol
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Lele
Assist: Bruno
36'
Veratschnig N.
37' Event
Aragao G. T.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-3. This leg finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Pafos
30%
Draws
43%
Salzburg
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Salzburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Salzburg lately — more wins on the board than Pafos.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Salzburg taking it.
  • Salzburg arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Pafos Clean Sheet 10%
Salzburg Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pafos Salzburg
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 11 15
Draws 10 4
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.86 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 13, 2026 Europa League
Pafos vs Salzburg
3:3
Aug 6, 2026 Europa League
Salzburg vs Pafos
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pafos Compare

Top Goalscorer Lele
1 Goals
Assists Leader Aragao G. T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Salzburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Tabakovic H.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pafos 26 / 100
Salzburg 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pafos Salzburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Salzburg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Pafos scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Salzburg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 27 matches.

Pafos went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pafos VS Salzburg
1.88 Goals Scored 2.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Pafos

(Home)
30 Aug
Karmiotissa
0 : 3
Pafos
27 Aug
Pafos
4 : 2
Dinamo City
20 Aug
Dinamo City
1 : 1
Pafos
13 Aug
Pafos
3 : 3
Salzburg
06 Aug
Salzburg
1 : 0
Pafos
Page 1 of 6

Salzburg

(Away)
30 Aug
Salzburg
4 : 1
Austria Vienna
27 Aug
Salzburg
3 : 0
Mjallby
20 Aug
Mjallby
0 : 1
Salzburg
16 Aug
Tirol
0 : 3
Salzburg
13 Aug
Pafos
3 : 3
Salzburg
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Trabzonspor -
TBD -
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Twente -
TBD -
Vojvodina 1
Ferencvaros 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gornik Zabrze -
KuPS -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Univ. Craiova -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ararat-Armenia -
St. Truiden -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lincoln Red Imps -
TBD -
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TBD -
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Omonia -
Crvena zvezda -
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Plzen -
Shamrock Rovers -
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KF Egnatia -
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Lillestrom -
Jagiellonia -
TBD -
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Rangers -
Larne -
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Iberia 1999 -
Mjallby -
TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
Hajduk Split 3
Zilina 2
TBD -
Pafos -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Salzburg -
Kairat Almaty -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Dynamo Kyiv 1
Universitatea Cluj 0
TBD -
PAOK -
Hammarby -
TBD -
TBD -
Anderlecht -
Lech Poznan -
TBD -
TBD -
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Klaksvik -
Thun -
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Vikingur Reykjavik -
Tromso -
TBD -
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Hradec Kralove -
Besiktas -
TBD -
TBD -
Midtjylland -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
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FK Kauno Zalgiris -
St. Gallen -
TBD -
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Benfica -
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Hearts -
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Aarhus -
OFI Crete -
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Sheriff Tiraspol 1
Aluminij 0
TBD -
Maccabi Tel Aviv -
Qarabag Agdam 6
Vestri 0
CSKA Sofia 5
Derry City 3
Quarter-finals
Trabzonspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Twente 3
Ferencvaros 4
TBD -
Gornik Zabrze -
KuPS -
TBD -
TBD -
Univ. Craiova -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ararat-Armenia -
St. Truiden -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lincoln Red Imps -
TBD -
TBD -
Omonia -
Crvena zvezda -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Plzen -
Shamrock Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
KF Egnatia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lillestrom -
Jagiellonia -
TBD -
TBD -
Rangers -
Larne -
TBD -
TBD -
Iberia 1999 -
Mjallby -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hajduk Split 2
Pafos 4
TBD -
Salzburg -
Kairat Almaty -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dynamo Kyiv 2
PAOK 5
Hammarby 2
Anderlecht 4
Lech Poznan -
TBD -
TBD -
Klaksvik -
Thun -
TBD -
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
Tromso 1
Hradec Kralove 4
Besiktas 3
Midtjylland 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Kauno Zalgiris -
St. Gallen 2
Benfica 6
TBD -
Hearts -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aarhus -
OFI Crete -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sheriff Tiraspol 0
Maccabi Tel Aviv 6
Qarabag Agdam 0
CSKA Sofia 1
Semi-finals
Trabzonspor -
TBD -
Ferencvaros 2
Gornik Zabrze 1
KuPS 2
Univ. Craiova 3
TBD -
Ararat-Armenia -
St. Truiden -
TBD -
Lincoln Red Imps 1
Omonia 2
Crvena zvezda -
TBD -
TBD -
Plzen -
Shamrock Rovers 4
KF Egnatia 6
TBD -
Lillestrom -
Jagiellonia 3
Rangers 2
Larne 1
Iberia 1999 2
Mjallby -
TBD -
Pafos 3
Salzburg 4
Kairat Almaty -
TBD -
PAOK 2
Anderlecht 4
Lech Poznan 6
Klaksvik 0
Thun 5
Vikingur Reykjavik 3
Hradec Kralove 0
Besiktas 2
TBD -
FK Kauno Zalgiris -
Benfica 7
Hearts 2
TBD -
Aarhus -
OFI Crete -
TBD -
Maccabi Tel Aviv 3
CSKA Sofia 4
Final
Trabzonspor 0
Ferencvaros 5
Univ. Craiova 1
Ararat-Armenia 2
St. Truiden 3
Omonia 4
Crvena zvezda 4
Plzen 5
KF Egnatia 1
Lillestrom 2
Jagiellonia 6
Iberia 1999 1
Mjallby 0
Salzburg 4
Kairat Almaty 0
Anderlecht 6
Lech Poznan 9
Thun 2
Besiktas 3
FK Kauno Zalgiris 1
Benfica 6
Aarhus 2
OFI Crete 5
CSKA Sofia 0