Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Paganese host Gelbison in the Serie D - Group G. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Gelbison have shipped 1.09 goals a game lately, while Paganese have conceded 1 and scored 1.37. Past meetings favor Gelbison slightly — 0-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 6, 2025, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 1.06, favoring Paganese. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 1-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Paganese come out ahead of Gelbison on wins alone.
- Paganese are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Paganese | Gelbison |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 16 | 15 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 8 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.37 | 1.28 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.09 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Paganese went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Paganese found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).
Gelbison let in goals in 66% of their last 32 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Paganese
(Home)Gelbison
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paganese | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11:4 | 10 |
| 2 | Sarnese | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 10 |
| 3 | Certosa V. Campagnano | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:1 | 9 |
| 4 | Monastir | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10:6 | 9 |
| 5 | Unipomezia | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 7 |
| 6 | Albalonga | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | 7 |
| 7 | Ossese | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 7 |
| 8 | Trastevere Calcio | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:8 | 7 |
| 9 | Afragolese | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 10 | Aranova | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:4 | 5 |
| 11 | Budoni Calcio | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 12 | Anzio Calcio 1924 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 13 | Gelbison | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | 4 |
| 14 | Sarrabus Ogliastra | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | 4 |
| 15 | Citta di Anagni | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:10 | 3 |
| 16 | Latte Dolce | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5:10 | 1 |
| 17 | Atl. Lodigiani | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5:11 | 1 |
| 18 | US Venafro | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:7 | 1 |
