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Paide Linnameeskond U21 vs Maardu Linnameeskond

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B 2025 Paide linnastaadion
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AI Match Summary

Paide Linnameeskond U21 play Maardu Linnameeskond in the Esiliiga B 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Paide Linnameeskond U21 averaged 1.81 goals scored and 1.61 conceded. Maardu Linnameeskond averaged 1.81 goals scored and 1.75 conceded. In past meetings, Paide Linnameeskond U21 won 0, Maardu Linnameeskond won 4, and they drew 1. Their last match on Sep 28, 2025 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.85 for Paide Linnameeskond U21 and 1.13 for Maardu Linnameeskond. This points to a Maardu Linnameeskond double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Paide Linnameeskond U21
26%
Draws
44%
Maardu Linnameeskond
Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: Maardu Linnameeskond

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Paide Linnameeskond U21 picked up more points recently compared to Maardu Linnameeskond.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.85 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64%
Paide Linnameeskond U21 Clean Sheet 21%
Maardu Linnameeskond Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 79%
Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paide Linnameeskond U21 Maardu Linnameeskond
Matches Played 31 36
Wins 10 16
Draws 8 11
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.81 1.81
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2025 Esiliiga B
Paide Linnameeskond U21 vs Maardu Linnameeskond
2:2
Aug 17, 2025 Esiliiga B
Maardu Linnameeskond vs Paide Linnameeskond U21
2:1
May 29, 2025 Esiliiga B
Maardu Linnameeskond vs Paide Linnameeskond U21
3:0
Apr 19, 2025 Esiliiga B
Paide Linnameeskond U21 vs Maardu Linnameeskond
1:4
Nov 8, 2021 Esiliiga
Paide Linnameeskond U21 vs Maardu Linnameeskond
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paide Linnameeskond U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kanne K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Maardu Linnameeskond Compare

Top Goalscorer Volkov A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Drabinko D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paide Linnameeskond U21 31 / 100
Maardu Linnameeskond 42 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paide Linnameeskond U21 Maardu Linnameeskond

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Maardu Linnameeskond or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +36.5%
4.55
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.64
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Paide Linnameeskond U21 attacking → ← attacking Maardu Linnameeskond

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paide Linnameeskond U21 scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Maardu Linnameeskond let in goals in 81% of their last 36 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Paide Linnameeskond U21 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Maardu Linnameeskond lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

38 Points in last 5 59
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Maardu Linnameeskond362853116:3989
2Nomme Utd U21362331093:5372
3Johvi Phoenix362151095:6168
4Narva U21362131287:5366
5Tartu Kalev361941381:5361
6Tabasalu361381560:6747
7Legion361351866:9444
8Paide Linnameeskond U21361181765:7141
9Kuressaare U2136612940:10519
10Laanemaa Haapsalu36323133:14011