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Paide Linnameeskond vs Kalju

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga Paide kunstmuruvaljak
Our Tip

Match Events

54'
Sotsugov D.
56'
Vukusic R.
65'
Sub
Kask K. In: Orlov M.
Out: Kask K.

AI Match Summary

Paide Linnameeskond in this Meistriliiga matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Paide Linnameeskond.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Paide Linnameeskond
33%
Draws
27%
Kalju
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Paide Linnameeskond

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Paide Linnameeskond have won more games recently than Kalju.
  • Win probability leans Paide Linnameeskond's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Meistriliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Paide Linnameeskond Clean Sheet 18%
Kalju Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paide Linnameeskond Kalju
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 15 14
Draws 7 7
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.38 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 Meistriliiga
Kalju vs Paide Linnameeskond
1:1
Jun 14, 2026 Meistriliiga
Kalju vs Paide Linnameeskond
1:1
Apr 19, 2026 Meistriliiga
Paide Linnameeskond vs Kalju
1:0
Feb 14, 2026 Club Friendly
Paide Linnameeskond vs Kalju
2:1
Nov 8, 2025 Meistriliiga
Kalju vs Paide Linnameeskond
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paide Linnameeskond Compare

Top Goalscorer Nigula R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Kalju Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paide Linnameeskond 40 / 100
Kalju 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paide Linnameeskond Kalju

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paide Linnameeskond found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (29 games).

Solid form: Paide Linnameeskond remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Kalju has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Paide Linnameeskond VS Kalju
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Levadia19144149:1646
2Flora19120739:2136
3Kalju19104533:1634
4Paide Linnameeskond1995530:2332
5Parnu JK Vaprus1982927:3526
6Tammeka Tartu1882821:2626
7Nomme Utd20811139:4625
8Harju JK Laagri19711125:3222
9Kuressaare19521219:3317
10Narva19311512:4610