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Paide Linnameeskond vs Kalju - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga Paide linnastaadion, Paide
Wed, Oct 28, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Paide Linnameeskond host Kalju in the Meistriliiga. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Paide Linnameeskond have averaged 1.45 scored and 1.42 conceded recently, against Kalju's 2 scored and 1.29 conceded. Past meetings favor Paide Linnameeskond slightly — 2-0-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 28, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.63 xG vs 1.19) point toward Paide Linnameeskond. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Paide Linnameeskond
15%
Draws
31%
Kalju
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Paide Linnameeskond

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Paide Linnameeskond come out ahead of Kalju on wins alone.
  • Model gives Paide Linnameeskond a 54% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Paide Linnameeskond Clean Sheet 20%
Kalju Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paide Linnameeskond Kalju
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 15 13
Draws 7 6
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.45 2
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 Meistriliiga
Kalju vs Paide Linnameeskond
1:1
Jun 14, 2026 Meistriliiga
Kalju vs Paide Linnameeskond
1:1
Apr 19, 2026 Meistriliiga
Paide Linnameeskond vs Kalju
1:0
Feb 14, 2026 Club Friendly
Paide Linnameeskond vs Kalju
2:1
Nov 8, 2025 Meistriliiga
Kalju vs Paide Linnameeskond
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paide Linnameeskond 67 / 100
Kalju 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paide Linnameeskond Kalju

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paide Linnameeskond Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paide Linnameeskond's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Kalju let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Paide Linnameeskond stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Paide Linnameeskond VS Kalju
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Paide Linnameeskond

(Home)
18 Oct
Paide Linnameeskond
2 : 1
Narva
14 Oct
Paide Linnameeskond
2 : 1
Tammeka Tartu
11 Oct
Levadia
1 : 0
Paide Linnameeskond
19 Sept
Nomme Utd
1 : 3
Paide Linnameeskond
16 Sept
Paide Linnameeskond
2 : 0
Parnu JK Vaprus
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Kalju

(Away)
17 Oct
Nomme Utd
3 : 0
Kalju
13 Oct
Parnu JK Vaprus
2 : 2
Kalju
10 Oct
Kalju
0 : 1
Harju JK Laagri
20 Sept
Tammeka Tartu
1 : 3
Kalju
12 Sept
Kalju
2 : 0
Narva
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levadia 32 25 6 1 87:22 81
2 Flora 32 19 1 12 62:44 58
3 Paide Linnameeskond 32 17 6 9 52:39 57
4 Kalju 32 15 6 11 54:33 51
5 Tammeka Tartu 32 15 2 15 42:51 47
6 Harju JK Laagri 32 14 2 16 45:47 44
7 Parnu JK Vaprus 32 10 6 16 43:63 36
8 Kuressaare 32 10 5 17 34:51 35
9 Nomme Utd 32 10 1 21 50:74 31
10 Narva 32 5 5 22 25:70 20
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)