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Paide Linnameeskond vs Narva

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga Paide linnastaadion, Paide
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Paide Linnameeskond host Narva in the Meistriliiga. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Paide Linnameeskond have averaged 1.54 scored and 1.37 conceded recently, against Narva's 1.3 scored and 2 conceded. Head-to-head, Paide Linnameeskond have won 2 to Narva's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Aug 16, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.56 xG vs 1.81) point toward Paide Linnameeskond. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Paide Linnameeskond
20%
Draws
15%
Narva
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Paide Linnameeskond

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Paide Linnameeskond carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Paide Linnameeskond a 65% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Meistriliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Paide Linnameeskond Clean Sheet 11%
Narva Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paide Linnameeskond Narva
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 17 8
Draws 7 4
Losses 11 18
Goals Scored 1.54 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.37 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Meistriliiga
Narva vs Paide Linnameeskond
1:1
May 20, 2026 Meistriliiga
Narva vs Paide Linnameeskond
1:0
Mar 15, 2026 Meistriliiga
Paide Linnameeskond vs Narva
1:0
Feb 7, 2026 Club Friendly
Narva vs Paide Linnameeskond
1:1
Sep 27, 2025 Meistriliiga
Narva vs Paide Linnameeskond
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paide Linnameeskond 83 / 100
Narva 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paide Linnameeskond Narva

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paide Linnameeskond Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Paide Linnameeskond scored in 89% of their last 35 outings.

Defensive concern: Narva conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Paide Linnameeskond stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Paide Linnameeskond VS Narva
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Paide Linnameeskond

(Home)
19 Sept
Nomme Utd
1 : 3
Paide Linnameeskond
16 Sept
Paide Linnameeskond
2 : 0
Parnu JK Vaprus
13 Sept
Paide Linnameeskond
1 : 2
Harju JK Laagri
09 Sept
Tammeka Tartu
0 : 2
Paide Linnameeskond
06 Sept
Paide Linnameeskond
0 : 2
Levadia
Page 1 of 7

Narva

(Away)
20 Sept
Narva
1 : 1
Levadia
12 Sept
Kalju
2 : 0
Narva
08 Sept
Narva
2 : 2
Flora
05 Sept
Kuressaare
3 : 1
Narva
30 Aug
Narva
0 : 2
Tammeka Tartu
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levadia 29 22 6 1 81:21 72
2 Flora 29 18 1 10 59:39 55
3 Paide Linnameeskond 29 15 6 8 48:36 51
4 Kalju 29 15 5 9 52:27 50
5 Tammeka Tartu 29 14 2 13 37:47 44
6 Harju JK Laagri 29 11 2 16 40:47 35
7 Parnu JK Vaprus 29 10 4 15 39:57 34
8 Kuressaare 29 8 5 16 31:49 29
9 Nomme Utd 29 9 1 19 47:68 28
10 Narva 29 5 4 20 22:65 19
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)