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Paide Linnameeskond vs Tammeka Tartu - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga Paide linnastaadion, Paide
Wed, Oct 14, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Paide Linnameeskond host Tammeka Tartu in the Meistriliiga. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Tammeka Tartu have shipped 1.46 goals a game lately, while Paide Linnameeskond have conceded 1.44 and scored 1.59. Past meetings favor Paide Linnameeskond slightly — 4-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 9, 2026, ending 0:2. xG projections (1.75 - 1.50) back Paide Linnameeskond to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Paide Linnameeskond
15%
Draws
34%
Tammeka Tartu
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Paide Linnameeskond

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Tammeka Tartu at 1.89 per game, Paide Linnameeskond at 1.59.
  • Win probability leans Paide Linnameeskond's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Paide Linnameeskond here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Paide Linnameeskond Clean Sheet 16%
Tammeka Tartu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paide Linnameeskond Tammeka Tartu
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 15 15
Draws 7 2
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.59 1.89
Goals Conceded 1.44 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2026 Meistriliiga
Tammeka Tartu vs Paide Linnameeskond
0:2
May 1, 2026 Meistriliiga
Paide Linnameeskond vs Tammeka Tartu
0:1
Apr 12, 2026 Meistriliiga
Tammeka Tartu vs Paide Linnameeskond
1:4
Oct 29, 2025 Estonian Cup
Paide Linnameeskond vs Tammeka Tartu
3:0
Oct 18, 2025 Meistriliiga
Paide Linnameeskond vs Tammeka Tartu
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paide Linnameeskond 84 / 100
Tammeka Tartu 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paide Linnameeskond Tammeka Tartu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paide Linnameeskond Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paide Linnameeskond scored in 88% of their last 32 games.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Tammeka Tartu let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.

Paide Linnameeskond has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Paide Linnameeskond VS Tammeka Tartu
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Paide Linnameeskond

(Home)
19 Sept
Nomme Utd
1 : 3
Paide Linnameeskond
16 Sept
Paide Linnameeskond
2 : 0
Parnu JK Vaprus
13 Sept
Paide Linnameeskond
1 : 2
Harju JK Laagri
09 Sept
Tammeka Tartu
0 : 2
Paide Linnameeskond
06 Sept
Paide Linnameeskond
0 : 2
Levadia
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Tammeka Tartu

(Away)
02 Oct
Tammeka Tartu
4 : 1
Viimsi JK
20 Sept
Tammeka Tartu
1 : 3
Kalju
17 Sept
Levadia
6 : 0
Tammeka Tartu
13 Sept
Kuressaare
1 : 3
Tammeka Tartu
09 Sept
Tammeka Tartu
0 : 2
Paide Linnameeskond
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levadia 29 22 6 1 81:21 72
2 Flora 29 18 1 10 59:39 55
3 Paide Linnameeskond 29 15 6 8 48:36 51
4 Kalju 29 15 5 9 52:27 50
5 Tammeka Tartu 29 14 2 13 37:47 44
6 Harju JK Laagri 29 11 2 16 40:47 35
7 Parnu JK Vaprus 29 10 4 15 39:57 34
8 Kuressaare 29 8 5 16 31:49 29
9 Nomme Utd 29 9 1 19 47:68 28
10 Narva 29 5 4 20 22:65 19
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)