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Paidha Black Angels vs Iganga United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uganda Uganda

Big League
Thu, Oct 15, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Paidha Black Angels host Iganga United in the Big League. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Iganga United have shipped 1.11 goals a game lately, while Paidha Black Angels have conceded 0.72 and scored 1.21. Past meetings favor Paidha Black Angels slightly — 1-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 15, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.00, favoring Paidha Black Angels. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Paidha Black Angels
15%
Draws
35%
Iganga United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Paidha Black Angels

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Iganga United haven't matched Paidha Black Angels's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Paidha Black Angels Clean Sheet 20%
Iganga United Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paidha Black Angels Iganga United
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 16 10
Draws 6 5
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.21 0.96
Goals Conceded 0.72 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Big League
Paidha Black Angels vs Iganga United
1:0
Oct 26, 2025 Big League
Iganga United vs Paidha Black Angels
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paidha Black Angels 36 / 100
Iganga United 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paidha Black Angels Iganga United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Iganga United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paidha Black Angels went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Paidha Black Angels found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Iganga United let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 0.50 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Paidha Black Angels VS Iganga United
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
0.38 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Paidha Black Angels

(Home)
04 Oct
Paidha Black Angels
1 : 0
Kiyinda Boys
27 Sept
Kaaro Karungi
0 : 1
Paidha Black Angels
06 Jun
Nebbi Central
0 : 1
Paidha Black Angels
24 May
Paidha Black Angels
2 : 1
Young Elephant
17 May
Onduparaka
0 : 0
Paidha Black Angels
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Iganga United

(Away)
04 Oct
Rwenzori Lions
1 : 0
Iganga United
27 Sept
Iganga United
1 : 0
Pakwach Young Stars
06 Jun
Mbale Heroes
2 : 6
Iganga United
24 May
Iganga United
3 : 0
Nebbi Central
17 May
Bunyaruguru
2 : 0
Iganga United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paidha Black Angels 2 2 0 0 2:0 6
2 Young Elephant Academy 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
3 Amus College FC 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
4 Pakwach Young Stars 2 1 0 1 3:1 3
5 Kiyinda Boys 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
6 Catda 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
7 SC Volcanoes 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
8 Calvary 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
9 Iganga United 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
10 Rwenzori Lions 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
11 Buwambo United 2 0 1 1 1:4 1
12 Onduparaka 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
13 Kaaro Karungi 3 0 0 3 0:6 0
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)