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Paidha Black Angels vs Kiyinda Boys

Uganda Uganda

Big League
Sun, Oct 4, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Paidha Black Angels host Kiyinda Boys in the Big League. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Paidha Black Angels at 1.21 goals for, 0.72 against; Kiyinda Boys at 1.48 for, 1.03 against. Head-to-head, Paidha Black Angels have won 3 to Kiyinda Boys's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on May 3, 2026, ending 2:0. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 0.94) point toward Paidha Black Angels. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Paidha Black Angels
20%
Draws
23%
Kiyinda Boys
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Paidha Black Angels

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Paidha Black Angels have won more games recently than Kiyinda Boys.
  • Paidha Black Angels are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Big League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Paidha Black Angels have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Paidha Black Angels Clean Sheet 20%
Kiyinda Boys Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paidha Black Angels Kiyinda Boys
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 13
Draws 6 5
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.21 1.48
Goals Conceded 0.72 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Big League
Kiyinda Boys vs Paidha Black Angels
2:0
Dec 14, 2025 Big League
Paidha Black Angels vs Kiyinda Boys
1:0
Jun 15, 2025 Big League
Paidha Black Angels vs Kiyinda Boys
2:1
Jan 12, 2025 Big League
Kiyinda Boys vs Paidha Black Angels
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paidha Black Angels 58 / 100
Kiyinda Boys 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paidha Black Angels Kiyinda Boys

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paidha Black Angels Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paidha Black Angels's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Kiyinda Boys has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Paidha Black Angels stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Paidha Black Angels VS Kiyinda Boys
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Paidha Black Angels

(Home)
27 Sept
Kaaro Karungi
0 : 1
Paidha Black Angels
06 Jun
Nebbi Central
0 : 1
Paidha Black Angels
24 May
Paidha Black Angels
2 : 1
Young Elephant
17 May
Onduparaka
0 : 0
Paidha Black Angels
03 May
Kiyinda Boys
2 : 0
Paidha Black Angels
Page 1 of 6

Kiyinda Boys

(Away)
27 Sept
Kiyinda Boys
3 : 1
Onduparaka
06 Jun
Kiyinda Boys
0 : 3
Ntugasaze
24 May
Kaaro Karungi
1 : 0
Kiyinda Boys
17 May
Kiyinda Boys
1 : 1
Kataka
09 May
Catda
1 : 0
Kiyinda Boys
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kiyinda Boys 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
2 Catda 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
3 Paidha Black Angels 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
4 Iganga United 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
5 Buwambo United 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
6 Young Elephant Academy 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
7 Calvary 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 SC Volcanoes 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Amus College FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Kaaro Karungi 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
11 Pakwach Young Stars 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
12 Onduparaka 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
13 Rwenzori Lions 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)