Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 12 2009/2010

Fuerteventura

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Pajara Playas play Fuerteventura in the Tercera Division - Group 12 2009/2010. It looks like a close match. Recently, Pajara Playas averaged 1.35 goals scored and 1.29 conceded. Fuerteventura averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.97 conceded. In past meetings, Pajara Playas won 1, Fuerteventura won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jan 7, 2010 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.42 for Pajara Playas and 1.25 for Fuerteventura. This points to a Pajara Playas double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%

Pajara Playas

25%

Draws

29%

Fuerteventura

Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Pajara Playas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence

Pajara Playas picked up more points recently compared to Fuerteventura.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.42 vs 1.25 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 80%

Over 2.5 Goals 53%

Over 3.5 Goals 32%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%

Pajara Playas Clean Sheet 19%

Fuerteventura Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 72%

Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Pajara Playas	Fuerteventura
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	14	7
Draws	4	7
Losses	13	16
Goals Scored	1.35	1.03
Goals Conceded	1.29	1.97

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 7, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 12

Pajara Playas vs Fuerteventura

Possession: 53% - 55% Cards: 2 - 1

3:0

Jan 11, 2009 Segunda RFEF - Group 2

Fuerteventura vs Pajara Playas

Possession: 57% - 55% Cards: 2 - 1

4:2

Aug 31, 2008 Segunda RFEF - Group 2

Pajara Playas vs Fuerteventura

Possession: 46% - 53% Cards: 2 - 2

1:3

Mar 30, 2008 Segunda RFEF - Group 1

Fuerteventura vs Pajara Playas

Possession: 48% - 46% Cards: 3 - 4

2:2

Nov 11, 2007 Segunda RFEF - Group 1

Pajara Playas vs Fuerteventura

Possession: 55% - 59% Cards: 2 - 4

1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pajara Playas 45 / 100

Fuerteventura 28 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Pajara Playas Fuerteventura

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Pajara Playas or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +21%

2.63

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.9%

2.13

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Pajara Playas attacking → ← attacking Fuerteventura

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pajara Playas scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Fuerteventura let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Pajara Playas went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Fuerteventura lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

46 Points in last 5 28

1.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Corralejo	41	21	16	4	56:25	79
2	Las Palmas B	41	20	14	7	67:38	74
3	Pajara Playas	41	21	11	9	64:36	74
4	CD Marino	41	19	13	9	65:39	70
5	Mensajero	41	17	17	7	59:36	68
6	Atletico Granadilla	41	19	11	11	55:48	68
7	Villa Santa Brigida	41	15	15	11	42:29	60
8	UD Realejos	41	15	11	15	45:43	56
9	AD Huracan	41	14	13	14	42:40	55
10	SD Tenisca	41	16	7	18	55:47	55
11	Tijarafe	41	12	16	13	51:53	52
12	Castillo CF	41	11	17	13	46:50	50
13	Orientacion Maritima	41	12	14	15	44:55	50
14	Teror	41	12	13	16	46:53	49
15	CD Laguna	41	12	11	18	41:54	47
16	Las Zocas	41	11	14	16	38:53	47
17	Victoria CD	41	10	17	14	37:44	47
18	CD Charco Del Pino	41	10	16	15	39:50	46
19	Galdar	41	9	13	19	34:62	40
20	Los Llanos	41	7	15	19	33:58	36
21	Univ. Las Palmas B	41	7	11	23	44:73	32
22	Fuerteventura	21	5	7	9	23:40	22