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Pajara Playas vs Villa Santa Brigida

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 12 2010/2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pajara Playas play Villa Santa Brigida in the Tercera Division - Group 12 2010/2011. It looks like a close match. Recently, Pajara Playas averaged 1.3 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. Villa Santa Brigida averaged 1.23 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Pajara Playas won 0, Villa Santa Brigida won 3, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jan 22, 2011 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Pajara Playas and 0.99 for Villa Santa Brigida. This points to a Villa Santa Brigida double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Pajara Playas
23%
Draws
40%
Villa Santa Brigida
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Villa Santa Brigida

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Pajara Playas picked up more points recently compared to Villa Santa Brigida.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 0.99 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 68%
Over 2.5 Goals 45%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%
Pajara Playas Clean Sheet 23%
Villa Santa Brigida Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 61%
Second Half Goal 65%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pajara Playas Villa Santa Brigida
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 13 13
Draws 4 6
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.3 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.33 1

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 22, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Pajara Playas vs Villa Santa Brigida
0:0
Sep 18, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Villa Santa Brigida vs Pajara Playas
4:1
Apr 18, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Pajara Playas vs Villa Santa Brigida
2:2
Dec 13, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Villa Santa Brigida vs Pajara Playas
1:0
Jan 25, 2009 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Villa Santa Brigida vs Pajara Playas
4:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pajara Playas 38 / 100
Villa Santa Brigida 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pajara Playas Villa Santa Brigida

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Villa Santa Brigida or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +27.6%
3.45
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15.2%
2.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Pajara Playas attacking → ← attacking Villa Santa Brigida

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pajara Playas scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Villa Santa Brigida let in goals in 65% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Pajara Playas went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Villa Santa Brigida lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

43 Points in last 5 45
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Lanzarote402310765:3079
2Las Palmas B40239868:4378
3Tenerife B402191064:3472
4Atletico Granadilla401914748:2971
5Villa Santa Brigida4017121162:4763
6CD Marino4017111252:3862
7Corralejo4016141052:3962
8Pajara Playas401761754:5957
9SD Tenisca401761748:5857
10Tijarafe401681654:4856
11Vera CD4015111463:6056
12CD Laguna401561947:4851
13Mensajero401481862:6250
14AD Huracan4012131545:5949
15Teror4012131553:6049
16Las Zocas4012111742:5047
17Victoria CD401442236:5846
18Orientacion Maritima4010151545:5945
19San Isidro401282044:6944
20UD Guia401192037:4742
21UD Realejos40652940:8423