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Pakhtakor II vs Aral - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Pro Liga
Tue, Oct 13, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pakhtakor II host Aral in the Pro Liga. Aral go into this one as the clear favorite. Aral have shipped 0.73 goals a game lately, while Pakhtakor II have conceded 2.29 and scored 0.71. Head-to-head, Pakhtakor II have won 1 to Aral's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Jun 3, 2026, ending 3:0. The numbers (0.56 xG vs 1.69) point toward Aral. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Pakhtakor II
15%
Draws
65%
Aral
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aral

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Aral have won more games recently than Pakhtakor II.
  • Win probability leans Aral's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Pro Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Pakhtakor II Clean Sheet 13%
Aral Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pakhtakor II Aral
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 3 20
Draws 3 6
Losses 22 4
Goals Scored 0.71 1.87
Goals Conceded 2.29 0.73
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 3, 2026 Pro Liga
Aral vs Pakhtakor II
3:0
Nov 2, 2016 Pro Liga
Pakhtakor II vs Aral
1:1
Apr 6, 2016 Pro Liga
Aral vs Pakhtakor II
6:2
Nov 2, 2015 Pro Liga
Pakhtakor II vs Aral
1:1
Aug 18, 2015 Pro Liga
Aral vs Pakhtakor II
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pakhtakor II 10 / 100
Aral 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pakhtakor II Aral

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aral Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Pakhtakor II scored in 46% of their last 28 games.

Aral let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Pakhtakor II remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Pakhtakor II VS Aral
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pakhtakor II

(Home)
21 Sept
Pakhtakor II
0 : 4
Shortan Guzor
12 Sept
Jayxun
2 : 0
Pakhtakor II
07 Sept
Metallurg Bekabad
1 : 0
Pakhtakor II
28 Aug
Pakhtakor II
3 : 0
TerDU
20 Aug
Yaypan
2 : 0
Pakhtakor II
Page 1 of 6

Aral

(Away)
21 Sept
Yaypan
2 : 5
Aral
13 Sept
Aral
2 : 0
FC Lochin
07 Sept
FarDU
1 : 1
Aral
27 Aug
Aral
1 : 0
Kattaqurgon
20 Aug
Olimpik-Mobiuz
2 : 1
Aral
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aral 20 15 4 1 42:13 49
2 Shortan Guzor 20 13 3 4 35:19 42
3 Metallurg Bekabad 20 12 4 4 46:16 40
4 FarDU 20 11 6 3 37:27 39
5 Kattaqurgon 19 10 3 6 24:17 33
6 FC Lochin 20 9 5 6 26:23 32
7 Gazalkent 20 9 5 6 36:23 32
8 Olimpik-Mobiuz 18 9 4 5 34:20 31
9 Jayxun 20 7 3 10 22:25 24
10 Yaypan 20 6 4 10 23:37 22
11 Respublika FA 19 6 4 9 25:29 22
12 BuxDu 20 3 1 16 16:48 10
13 Pakhtakor II 20 3 1 16 13:46 10
14 TerDU 20 1 1 18 12:48 4
Promotion - Super League 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Pro Liga (Promotion)