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Pakhtakor II vs Metallurg Bekabad

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Pro Liga
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Akhmedov A.
74' Event
Jocic B.
76' Event
Maxuel Cassio

AI Match Summary

The Pro Liga game between Pakhtakor II and Metallurg Bekabad finished 0-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Metallurg Bekabad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Pakhtakor II
6%
Draws
90%
Metallurg Bekabad
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Metallurg Bekabad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Pakhtakor II haven't matched Metallurg Bekabad's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Metallurg Bekabad taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Pakhtakor II Clean Sheet 10%
Metallurg Bekabad Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pakhtakor II Metallurg Bekabad
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 4 9
Draws 6 11
Losses 19 9
Goals Scored 0.75 1.75
Goals Conceded 2.13 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Pro Liga
Pakhtakor II vs Metallurg Bekabad
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pakhtakor II Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Metallurg Bekabad Compare

Top Goalscorer Akhmedov A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jocic B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pakhtakor II 10 / 100
Metallurg Bekabad 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pakhtakor II Metallurg Bekabad

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MET Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Pakhtakor II scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Metallurg Bekabad has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Away concern: Metallurg Bekabad has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Pakhtakor II VS Metallurg Bekabad
0.75 Goals Scored 1.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Aral1082024:726
2Shortan Guzor1072115:823
3FC Lochin1063119:721
4Metallurg Bekabad1053223:818
5Kattaqurgon1053211:618
6Gazalkent1043314:1215
7FarDU1034313:1913
8Yaypan1041513:2013
9Olimpik-Mobiuz1033418:1312
10Respublika FA1033412:1012
11Jayxun102267:168
12BuxDu102177:217
13Pakhtakor II101186:234
14TerDU101188:204