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Pakhtakor II vs Shortan Guzor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Pro Liga
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Mukarov N.
37' Event
Abdurakhmonov M.
76' Event
Barabadze L.

AI Match Summary

The Pro Liga game between Pakhtakor II and Shortan Guzor finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Shortan Guzor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Pakhtakor II
15%
Draws
68%
Shortan Guzor
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Shortan Guzor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Shortan Guzor come out ahead of Pakhtakor II on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Shortan Guzor's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Shortan Guzor here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Pakhtakor II Clean Sheet 10%
Shortan Guzor Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pakhtakor II Shortan Guzor
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 3 15
Draws 3 5
Losses 23 9
Goals Scored 0.76 1.72
Goals Conceded 2.31 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2026 Pro Liga
Pakhtakor II vs Shortan Guzor
0:4
May 5, 2026 Pro Liga
Shortan Guzor vs Pakhtakor II
2:0
Oct 26, 2014 Pro Liga
Shortan Guzor vs Pakhtakor II
2:0
Aug 19, 2014 Pro Liga
Pakhtakor II vs Shortan Guzor
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pakhtakor II Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Shortan Guzor Compare

Top Goalscorer Mukarov N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Abdurakhmonov M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pakhtakor II 10 / 100
Shortan Guzor 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pakhtakor II Shortan Guzor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shortan Guzor Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shortan Guzor let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Pakhtakor II scored in 48% of their last 29 games.

Recent resilience: Pakhtakor II stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pakhtakor II VS Shortan Guzor
0.88 Goals Scored 2.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Pakhtakor II

(Home)
08 Oct
Gazalkent
3 : 2
Pakhtakor II
21 Sept
Pakhtakor II
0 : 4
Shortan Guzor
12 Sept
Jayxun
2 : 0
Pakhtakor II
07 Sept
Metallurg Bekabad
1 : 0
Pakhtakor II
28 Aug
Pakhtakor II
3 : 0
TerDU
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Shortan Guzor

(Away)
07 Oct
Shortan Guzor
3 : 1
Jayxun
21 Sept
Pakhtakor II
0 : 4
Shortan Guzor
12 Sept
Shortan Guzor
3 : 0
TerDU
06 Sept
Yaypan
1 : 4
Shortan Guzor
29 Aug
Shortan Guzor
0 : 1
FC Lochin
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aral 21 16 4 1 45:13 52
2 Shortan Guzor 21 14 3 4 38:20 45
3 Metallurg Bekabad 21 13 4 4 49:16 43
4 FarDU 21 11 7 3 39:29 40
5 FC Lochin 21 10 5 6 32:25 35
6 Gazalkent 21 10 5 6 39:25 35
7 Kattaqurgon 20 10 3 7 24:20 33
8 Olimpik-Mobiuz 19 9 5 5 36:22 32
9 Respublika FA 20 7 4 9 27:30 25
10 Jayxun 21 7 3 11 23:28 24
11 Yaypan 21 6 4 11 24:39 22
12 BuxDu 21 3 1 17 18:54 10
13 Pakhtakor II 21 3 1 17 15:49 10
14 TerDU 21 1 1 19 12:51 4
Promotion - Super League 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Pro Liga (Promotion)