Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pakhtakor vs Al Hussein

Asia Asia

AFC Champions League Pakhtakor Central Stadium, Tashkent
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Khamdamov D.
Assist: Resan B.
30' Event
Khamdamov D.
Assist: Nasrullaev S.
40'
Tahseen Z.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-0. This leg finished 3-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Pakhtakor
35%
Draws
15%
Al Hussein
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Pakhtakor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Hussein have won more games recently than Pakhtakor.
  • Model gives Pakhtakor a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Al Hussein arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Pakhtakor, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 74.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Pakhtakor Clean Sheet 68%
Al Hussein Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pakhtakor Al Hussein
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 18
Draws 9 5
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 1.57 2.31
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.76 1.10
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 11, 2026 AFC Champions League
Pakhtakor vs Al Hussein
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pakhtakor Compare

Top Goalscorer Khamdamov D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Resan B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Al Hussein Compare

Avg xG / game 1
Avg xA / game 0.61

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pakhtakor 86 / 100
Al Hussein 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pakhtakor Al Hussein

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pakhtakor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pakhtakor found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Pakhtakor went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Al Hussein conceded in 52% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Pakhtakor VS Al Hussein
1.38 Goals Scored 1.57
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.14
63% Over 1.5 86%
50% Over 2.5 86%
13% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

Pakhtakor

(Home)
19 Sept
Mashal Muborak
1 : 2
Pakhtakor
14 Sept
Al Ahli SC
1 : 1
Pakhtakor
09 Sept
OKMK
1 : 3
Pakhtakor
04 Sept
Pakhtakor
3 : 0
Andijan
29 Aug
Neftchi Fargona
1 : 0
Pakhtakor
Page 1 of 6

Al Hussein

(Away)
19 Sept
Shabab Al Ordon
3 : 3
Al Hussein
16 Sept
Al Hussein
2 : 2
East Bengal
11 Sept
Al Hussein
0 : 0
Al Buqaa
05 Sept
Al Hussein
0 : 5
Al Jazeera Amman
28 Aug
Al-Faisaly Amman
2 : 1
Al Hussein
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Al Jazira 1
Al Ittihad 4
Pakhtakor 3
Al Hussein 0
Gangwon 0
Gamba Osaka 1
Adelaide Utd 0
Cong An Ha Noi 2