Sport Picks
Match Events
15'
15'
Al Hamdan A.
Assist: Joao Felix
17'
17'
Joao Felix
26'
26'
Mozgovoy A.
AI Match Summary
The AFC Champions League game between Pakhtakor and Al Nassr finished 2-6, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Nassr.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
18%
15%
67%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Nassr
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
67%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Al Nassr come out ahead of Pakhtakor on wins alone.
- Model gives Al Nassr a 67% chance of winning this.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Al Nassr have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Pakhtakor Clean Sheet 17%
Al Nassr Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pakhtakor | Al Nassr |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 15 | 19 |
| Draws | 10 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.66 | 2.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 2, 2026 AFC Champions League
Pakhtakor vs Al Nassr
2:6
May 4, 2011 AFC Champions League
Al Nassr vs Pakhtakor
4:0
Mar 1, 2011 AFC Champions League
Pakhtakor vs Al Nassr
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Pakhtakor Compare
Top Goalscorer Flamarion
1 Goals Assists Leader Khamdamov D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Al Nassr Compare
Top Goalscorer Joao Felix
2 Goals Assists Leader Al Hamdan A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pakhtakor 10 / 100
Al Nassr 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pakhtakor Al Nassr
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Al Nassr Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Pakhtakor scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 5.33 goals as a typical output.
Defensive concern: Al Nassr conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.
Solid form: Pakhtakor remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Pakhtakor VS Al Nassr
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Pakhtakor
(Home) 02 Nov
Pakhtakor
2 : 6 Al Nassr
30 Oct
Xorazm Urganch
0 : 1 Pakhtakor
26 Oct
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1 : 0 Pakhtakor
23 Oct
Pakhtakor
1 : 3 Neftchi Fargona
17 Oct
Navbahor Namangan
1 : 1 Pakhtakor
Page 1 of 6
02 Nov
Pakhtakor
2 : 6 Al Nassr
23 Oct
Pakhtakor
1 : 3 Neftchi Fargona
12 Oct
Pakhtakor
1 : 1 Al Qadsiah
09 Oct
Pakhtakor
3 : 1 Bunyodkor
04 Sept
Pakhtakor
3 : 0 Andijan
Page 1 of 3
Al Nassr
(Away) 02 Nov
Pakhtakor
2 : 6 Al Nassr
29 Oct
Al Nassr
5 : 3 Al Kholood
23 Oct
Al Faisaly
1 : 3 Al Nassr
20 Oct
Al Nassr
1 : 0 Neom SC
12 Oct
Al Nassr
3 : 1 Neftchi Fargona
Page 1 of 6
02 Nov
Pakhtakor
2 : 6 Al Nassr
23 Oct
Al Faisaly
1 : 3 Al Nassr
15 Sept
Al Ain
4 : 0 Al Nassr
12 Sept
Al Khaleej
1 : 1 Al Nassr
05 Sept
Al Ittihad
2 : 1 Al Nassr
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8:3 | 12 |
| 2 | Kashima Antlers | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11:1 | 9 |
| 3 | Gamba Osaka | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11:6 | 8 |
| 4 | Kashiwa Reysol | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:3 | 7 |
| 5 | Shanghai Port | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13:10 | 7 |
| 6 | Kyoto | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 7 |
| 7 | Johor DT | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 7 |
| 8 | Jeonbuk | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 7 |
| 9 | Beijing Guoan | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10:10 | 7 |
| 10 | Daejeon | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:4 | 4 |
| 11 | Cong An Ha Noi | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | 4 |
| 12 | Port MTI FC | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9:14 | 3 |
| 13 | Buriram United F.C. | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | 2 |
| 14 | Ratchaburi | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6:10 | 1 |
| 15 | Pohang | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4:11 | 1 |
| 16 | Newcastle Jets | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6:19 | 0 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Ain | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14:3 | 12 |
| 2 | Al Hilal | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | 9 |
| 3 | Esteghlal TEH | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 9 |
| 4 | Shabab Al Ahli Dubai | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 9 |
| 5 | Al Qadsiah | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9:3 | 8 |
| 6 | Al Ahli SC | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:3 | 8 |
| 7 | Al Nassr | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:7 | 6 |
| 8 | Shamal | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:3 | 5 |
| 9 | Neftchi Fargona | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | 4 |
| 10 | Al Ittihad | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:8 | 4 |
| 11 | Al Wasl | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:8 | 3 |
| 12 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:9 | 3 |
| 13 | Tractor | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:5 | 2 |
| 14 | Pakhtakor | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:9 | 2 |
| 15 | Al Sadd | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1:6 | 2 |
| 16 | Al Gharafa | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:11 | 0 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
