Sport Picks
Pakhtakor vs Mashal Muborak Prediction & H2H Stats
Uzbekistan
Super League Pakhtakor Central Stadium, Tashkent 
Match Events
41'
41'
Flamarion
Assist: Parzyszek P.
45'
45'
Juraev S.
Own Goal
59'
59'
Sub
Ochilov S. In: Muzaffarov N.
Out: Ochilov S.
AI Match Summary
Pakhtakor in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pakhtakor.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pakhtakor
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Pakhtakor lately — more wins on the board than Mashal Muborak.
- Win probability leans Pakhtakor's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Pakhtakor here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Pakhtakor Clean Sheet 68%
Mashal Muborak Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pakhtakor | Mashal Muborak |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 4 |
| Draws | 9 | 2 |
| Losses | 6 | 24 |
| Goals Scored | 1.57 | 0.53 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1.77 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 0.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 19, 2026 Super League
Mashal Muborak vs Pakhtakor
1:2
Apr 13, 2026 Super League
Pakhtakor vs Mashal Muborak
2:1
Aug 26, 2025 Uzbekistan Cup
Pakhtakor vs Mashal Muborak
3:1
Aug 1, 2025 Super League
Mashal Muborak vs Pakhtakor
0:1
Apr 2, 2025 Super League
Pakhtakor vs Mashal Muborak
5:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Pakhtakor Compare
Top Goalscorer Flamarion
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Mashal Muborak Compare
Top Goalscorer Juraev S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.31
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pakhtakor 95 / 100
Mashal Muborak 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pakhtakor Mashal Muborak
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Pakhtakor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mashal Muborak has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
Mashal Muborak lost 5 of their last 5 games.
Pakhtakor's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Pakhtakor VS Mashal Muborak
1.13 Goals Scored 0.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.5
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Pakhtakor
(Home) 19 Sept
Mashal Muborak
1 : 2 Pakhtakor
14 Sept
Al Ahli SC
1 : 1 Pakhtakor
09 Sept
OKMK
1 : 3 Pakhtakor
04 Sept
Pakhtakor
3 : 0 Andijan
29 Aug
Neftchi Fargona
1 : 0 Pakhtakor
Page 1 of 6
04 Sept
Pakhtakor
3 : 0 Andijan
21 Aug
Pakhtakor
0 : 0 Termez Surkhon
11 Aug
Pakhtakor
3 : 0 Al Hussein
06 Aug
Pakhtakor
2 : 2 Buxoro
21 Jul
Pakhtakor
2 : 1 Xorazm Urganch
Page 1 of 3
Mashal Muborak
(Away) 19 Sept
Mashal Muborak
1 : 2 Pakhtakor
11 Sept
Lok. Tashkent
3 : 0 Mashal Muborak
05 Sept
Sogdiana
5 : 2 Mashal Muborak
26 Aug
Mashal Muborak
0 : 2 Navbahor Namangan
19 Aug
Mashal Muborak
0 : 1 Andijan
Page 1 of 6
11 Sept
Lok. Tashkent
3 : 0 Mashal Muborak
05 Sept
Sogdiana
5 : 2 Mashal Muborak
14 Aug
Qizilqum
2 : 0 Mashal Muborak
07 Aug
Xorazm Urganch
2 : 0 Mashal Muborak
27 Jul
OKMK
2 : 1 Mashal Muborak
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Fargona | 22 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 50:17 | 51 |
| 2 | Pakhtakor | 22 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 39:20 | 49 |
| 3 | Navbahor Namangan | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 39:21 | 44 |
| 4 | Lok. Tashkent | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 36:28 | 35 |
| 5 | OKMK | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 31:29 | 35 |
| 6 | Nasaf Qarshi | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 33:21 | 34 |
| 7 | Buxoro | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 32:29 | 34 |
| 8 | Din. Samarkand | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 33:34 | 30 |
| 9 | Andijan | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 27:28 | 30 |
| 10 | Qizilqum | 22 | 9 | 2 | 11 | 23:30 | 29 |
| 11 | Sogdiana | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 38:43 | 28 |
| 12 | Termez Surkhon | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 19:28 | 26 |
| 13 | Bunyodkor | 22 | 7 | 1 | 14 | 22:36 | 22 |
| 14 | Xorazm Urganch | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 18:32 | 21 |
| 15 | Kokand 1912 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 19:30 | 20 |
| 16 | Mashal Muborak | 22 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11:44 | 4 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Pro Liga 2027 (Main)
