Sport Picks
Pakhtakor vs Neftchi Fargona Prediction & H2H Stats
Uzbekistan
Super League Pakhtakor Central Stadium, Tashkent 
AI Match Summary
Pakhtakor host Neftchi Fargona in the Super League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Pakhtakor at 1.57 goals for, 1.07 against; Neftchi Fargona at 2.14 for, 0.82 against. Head-to-head, Pakhtakor have won 3 to Neftchi Fargona's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Aug 29, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 1.44, favoring Neftchi Fargona. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Neftchi Fargona come out ahead of Pakhtakor on wins alone.
- Pakhtakor are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pakhtakor | Neftchi Fargona |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 15 | 21 |
| Draws | 9 | 3 |
| Losses | 6 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.57 | 2.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 0.82 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Pakhtakor scored in 77% of their last 30 games.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Pakhtakor has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Neftchi Fargona has conceded goals in 43% of their last 28 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Pakhtakor
(Home)Neftchi Fargona
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Fargona | 22 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 50:17 | 51 |
| 2 | Pakhtakor | 22 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 39:20 | 49 |
| 3 | Navbahor Namangan | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 39:21 | 44 |
| 4 | Lok. Tashkent | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 36:28 | 35 |
| 5 | OKMK | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 31:29 | 35 |
| 6 | Nasaf Qarshi | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 33:21 | 34 |
| 7 | Buxoro | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 32:29 | 34 |
| 8 | Din. Samarkand | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 33:34 | 30 |
| 9 | Andijan | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 27:28 | 30 |
| 10 | Qizilqum | 22 | 9 | 2 | 11 | 23:30 | 29 |
| 11 | Sogdiana | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 38:43 | 28 |
| 12 | Termez Surkhon | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 19:28 | 26 |
| 13 | Bunyodkor | 22 | 7 | 1 | 14 | 22:36 | 22 |
| 14 | Xorazm Urganch | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 18:32 | 21 |
| 15 | Kokand 1912 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 19:30 | 20 |
| 16 | Mashal Muborak | 22 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11:44 | 4 |
