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Pakhtakor vs Spaeri

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Pakhtakor and Spaeri finished 3-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Spaeri.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

63%
Pakhtakor
20%
Draws
17%
Spaeri
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pakhtakor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • Pakhtakor carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Pakhtakor are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Pakhtakor Clean Sheet 20%
Spaeri Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pakhtakor Spaeri
Matches Played 26 28
Wins 13 8
Draws 8 9
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 1.54 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.12 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 17, 2026 Club Friendly
Pakhtakor vs Spaeri
3:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pakhtakor 67 / 100
Spaeri 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pakhtakor Spaeri

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pakhtakor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pakhtakor's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

Historical meetings average 7.00 goals per match.

Pakhtakor has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Spaeri let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Pakhtakor VS Spaeri
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Pakhtakor

(Home)
16 Aug
Nasaf Qarshi
1 : 2
Pakhtakor
11 Aug
Pakhtakor
3 : 0
Al Hussein
06 Aug
Pakhtakor
2 : 2
Buxoro
01 Aug
Andijan
0 : 0
Pakhtakor
26 Jul
Bunyodkor
0 : 1
Pakhtakor
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Spaeri

(Away)
09 Aug
Spaeri
1 : 2
Dinamo Tbilisi
01 Aug
FC Rustavi
3 : 1
Spaeri
25 Jul
Dinamo Tbilisi 2
1 : 5
Spaeri
20 Jul
Spaeri
0 : 1
Samgurali
17 Jul
Spaeri
2 : 3
Urartu
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