Sport Picks
Pakhtakor vs Termez Surkhon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Uzbekistan
Super League Pakhtakor Central Stadium, Tashkent 
Match Events
12'
12'
Alizhonov K.
43'
43'
Ashuboyev T.
46'
46'
Sub
Pouraliganji M. In: Flamarion
Out: Pouraliganji M.
AI Match Summary
The Super League game between Pakhtakor and Termez Surkhon finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
35%
31%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
34%
/ Low Confidence
- Termez Surkhon haven't matched Pakhtakor's recent run of results.
- 34% — that's where the model lands on Pakhtakor taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Pakhtakor Clean Sheet 20%
Termez Surkhon Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pakhtakor | Termez Surkhon |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 9 |
| Draws | 10 | 7 |
| Losses | 3 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.66 | 0.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 0.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 21, 2026 Super League
Pakhtakor vs Termez Surkhon
0:0
May 3, 2026 Super League
Termez Surkhon vs Pakhtakor
1:1
Sep 29, 2025 Super League
Pakhtakor vs Termez Surkhon
1:0
May 3, 2025 Super League
Termez Surkhon vs Pakhtakor
2:1
Aug 22, 2024 Super League
Pakhtakor vs Termez Surkhon
0:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pakhtakor 40 / 100
Termez Surkhon 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pakhtakor Termez Surkhon
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Pakhtakor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Pakhtakor's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Recent resilience: Pakhtakor stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Termez Surkhon has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 1.40 goals.
Scoring Trends
Pakhtakor VS Termez Surkhon
1.5 Goals Scored 0.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 13%
50% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Pakhtakor
(Home) 17 Oct
Navbahor Namangan
1 : 1 Pakhtakor
12 Oct
Pakhtakor
1 : 1 Al Qadsiah
09 Oct
Pakhtakor
3 : 1 Bunyodkor
19 Sept
Mashal Muborak
1 : 2 Pakhtakor
14 Sept
Al Ahli SC
1 : 1 Pakhtakor
Page 1 of 6
12 Oct
Pakhtakor
1 : 1 Al Qadsiah
09 Oct
Pakhtakor
3 : 1 Bunyodkor
04 Sept
Pakhtakor
3 : 0 Andijan
21 Aug
Pakhtakor
0 : 0 Termez Surkhon
11 Aug
Pakhtakor
3 : 0 Al Hussein
Page 1 of 3
Termez Surkhon
(Away) 16 Oct
Termez Surkhon
0 : 0 Xorazm Urganch
10 Oct
Qizilqum
0 : 0 Termez Surkhon
20 Sept
Termez Surkhon
1 : 0 Kokand 1912
09 Sept
Neftchi Fargona
2 : 1 Termez Surkhon
04 Sept
Bunyodkor
0 : 1 Termez Surkhon
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Qizilqum
0 : 0 Termez Surkhon
09 Sept
Neftchi Fargona
2 : 1 Termez Surkhon
04 Sept
Bunyodkor
0 : 1 Termez Surkhon
21 Aug
Pakhtakor
0 : 0 Termez Surkhon
03 Aug
Kokand 1912
0 : 1 Termez Surkhon
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Fargona | 24 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 56:21 | 55 |
| 2 | Pakhtakor | 24 | 15 | 8 | 1 | 43:22 | 53 |
| 3 | Navbahor Namangan | 24 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 42:24 | 46 |
| 4 | Buxoro | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 37:32 | 40 |
| 5 | Lok. Tashkent | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 39:30 | 39 |
| 6 | OKMK | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 34:31 | 39 |
| 7 | Nasaf Qarshi | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 35:22 | 38 |
| 8 | Qizilqum | 24 | 10 | 3 | 11 | 24:30 | 33 |
| 9 | Din. Samarkand | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 35:38 | 30 |
| 10 | Andijan | 24 | 9 | 3 | 12 | 29:32 | 30 |
| 11 | Sogdiana | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 41:47 | 29 |
| 12 | Termez Surkhon | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 19:28 | 28 |
| 13 | Kokand 1912 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 24:34 | 23 |
| 14 | Xorazm Urganch | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 20:34 | 23 |
| 15 | Bunyodkor | 24 | 7 | 2 | 15 | 24:40 | 23 |
| 16 | Mashal Muborak | 24 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 11:48 | 4 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Pro Liga 2027 (Main)
