Sport Picks
Pakhtakor vs Termez Surkhon
Uzbekistan
Super League Pakhtakor Central Stadium, Tashkent 
Match Events
12'
12'
Alizhonov K.
43'
43'
Ashuboyev T.
46'
46'
Sub
Pouraliganji M. In: Flamarion
Out: Pouraliganji M.
AI Match Summary
The Super League game between Pakhtakor and Termez Surkhon finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
45%
35%
20%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Pakhtakor
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Termez Surkhon haven't matched Pakhtakor's recent run of results.
- 45% — that's where the model lands on Pakhtakor taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Pakhtakor Clean Sheet 20%
Termez Surkhon Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pakhtakor | Termez Surkhon |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 17 | 11 |
| Draws | 9 | 6 |
| Losses | 5 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.55 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.97 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 21, 2026 Super League
Pakhtakor vs Termez Surkhon
0:0
May 3, 2026 Super League
Termez Surkhon vs Pakhtakor
1:1
Sep 29, 2025 Super League
Pakhtakor vs Termez Surkhon
1:0
May 3, 2025 Super League
Termez Surkhon vs Pakhtakor
2:1
Aug 22, 2024 Super League
Pakhtakor vs Termez Surkhon
0:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pakhtakor 76 / 100
Termez Surkhon 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pakhtakor Termez Surkhon
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Pakhtakor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Recent resilience: Pakhtakor stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Pakhtakor's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Termez Surkhon has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.
Termez Surkhon lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Pakhtakor VS Termez Surkhon
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Pakhtakor
(Home) 21 Aug
Pakhtakor
0 : 0 Termez Surkhon
16 Aug
Nasaf Qarshi
1 : 2 Pakhtakor
11 Aug
Pakhtakor
3 : 0 Al Hussein
06 Aug
Pakhtakor
2 : 2 Buxoro
01 Aug
Andijan
0 : 0 Pakhtakor
Page 1 of 7
21 Aug
Pakhtakor
0 : 0 Termez Surkhon
11 Aug
Pakhtakor
3 : 0 Al Hussein
06 Aug
Pakhtakor
2 : 2 Buxoro
21 Jul
Pakhtakor
2 : 1 Xorazm Urganch
17 Jul
Pakhtakor
1 : 1 Lok. Tashkent
Page 1 of 3
Termez Surkhon
(Away) 21 Aug
Pakhtakor
0 : 0 Termez Surkhon
13 Aug
Termez Surkhon
1 : 3 Sogdiana
07 Aug
Termez Surkhon
0 : 1 Navbahor Namangan
03 Aug
Kokand 1912
0 : 1 Termez Surkhon
28 Jul
Xorazm Urganch
1 : 0 Termez Surkhon
Page 1 of 6
21 Aug
Pakhtakor
0 : 0 Termez Surkhon
03 Aug
Kokand 1912
0 : 1 Termez Surkhon
28 Jul
Xorazm Urganch
1 : 0 Termez Surkhon
18 Jul
Andijan
1 : 2 Termez Surkhon
28 Apr
Sogdiana
5 : 2 Termez Surkhon
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Fargona | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 45:10 | 45 |
| 2 | Pakhtakor | 19 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 31:18 | 40 |
| 3 | Navbahor Namangan | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 31:17 | 37 |
| 4 | Buxoro | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 28:20 | 34 |
| 5 | Lok. Tashkent | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 32:26 | 31 |
| 6 | OKMK | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 27:25 | 29 |
| 7 | Andijan | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 24:20 | 27 |
| 8 | Din. Samarkand | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 29:30 | 26 |
| 9 | Nasaf Qarshi | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 20:18 | 25 |
| 10 | Sogdiana | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 32:39 | 24 |
| 11 | Qizilqum | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 17:26 | 23 |
| 12 | Termez Surkhon | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 16:26 | 20 |
| 13 | Xorazm Urganch | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 17:28 | 20 |
| 14 | Kokand 1912 | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 17:26 | 19 |
| 15 | Bunyodkor | 19 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 20:31 | 19 |
| 16 | Mashal Muborak | 19 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 8:34 | 4 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Pro Liga 2027 (Main)
