Sport Picks

Asia

Asian Games 2014

North Korea U23

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Pakistan U23 play North Korea U23 in the Asian Games 2014. North Korea U23 are favorites here. Recently, Pakistan U23 averaged 0.5 goals scored and 2.7 conceded. North Korea U23 averaged 1.72 goals scored and 0.97 conceded. In past meetings, Pakistan U23 won 0, North Korea U23 won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 18, 2014 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.56 for Pakistan U23 and 2.13 for North Korea U23. This points to a North Korea U23 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

11%

Pakistan U23

16%

Draws

73%

North Korea U23

Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: North Korea U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Pakistan U23 picked up more points recently compared to North Korea U23.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.56 vs 2.13 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%

Over 1.5 Goals 78%

Over 2.5 Goals 47%

Over 3.5 Goals 28%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%

Pakistan U23 Clean Sheet 10%

North Korea U23 Clean Sheet 22%

First Half Goal 70%

Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Pakistan U23	North Korea U23
Matches Played	20	29
Wins	2	15
Draws	1	7
Losses	17	7
Goals Scored	0.5	1.72
Goals Conceded	2.7	0.97
Expected Goals (xG)	0.50	0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	3.50	0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2014 Asian Games

Pakistan U23 vs North Korea U23

Possession: 53% - 57% Cards: 2 - 0

0:2

Dec 3, 2006 Asian Games

North Korea U23 vs Pakistan U23

Possession: 43% - 42% Cards: 3 - 1

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pakistan U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.38

Avg xA / game 0.25

North Korea U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Jong Il-Gwan

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pakistan U23 12 / 100

North Korea U23 70 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Pakistan U23 North Korea U23

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick North Korea U23 Win (2)

Secondary Pick North Korea U23 & Under 3.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +266.6%

33.33

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +14.7%

2.44

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Pakistan U23 attacking → ← attacking North Korea U23

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pakistan U23 scored in 30% of their last 20 games.

North Korea U23 let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Pakistan U23 went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

North Korea U23 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

7 Points in last 5 52

0.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.75

3.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	South Korea U23	3	3	0	6:0	9
2	Saudi Arabia U23	3	2	1	6:1	6
3	Malaysia U23	3	1	2	4:6	3
4	Laos U23	3	0	3	0:9	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Uzbekistan U23	3	2	1	0	9:1	7
2	Hong Kong U23	3	2	1	0	5:3	7
3	Bangladesh U23	3	1	0	2	2:5	3
4	Afghanistan U23	3	0	0	3	1:8	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Palestine U23	3	2	0	1	5:3	6
2	Tajikistan U23	3	2	0	1	3:2	6
3	Singapore U23	3	1	1	1	5:5	4
4	Oman U23	3	0	1	2	3:6	1

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Iraq U23	3	3	0	10:1	9
2	Japan U23	3	2	1	9:4	6
3	Kuwait U23	3	1	2	6:7	3
4	Nepal U23	3	0	3	0:13	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Thailand U23	3	3	0	11:0	9
2	Indonesia U23	3	2	1	11:6	6
3	Maldives U23	3	1	2	3:8	3
4	Timor-Leste U23	3	0	3	2:13	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	North Korea U23	2	2	0	5:0	6
2	China U23	2	1	1	1:3	3
3	Pakistan U23	2	0	2	0:3	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Jordan U23	2	2	0	3:0	6
2	United Arab Emirates U23	2	1	1	5:1	3
3	India U23	2	0	2	0:7	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vietnam U23	2	2	0	0	5:1	6
2	Kyrgyzstan U23	2	0	1	1	1:2	1
3	Iran U23	2	0	1	1	2:5	1