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Paks II vs Budafoki MTE - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Hungary Hungary

NB III - Southwest
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Petro G.
30' Event
Turi C.
58' Event
Reho B.

AI Match Summary

The NB III - Southwest game between Paks II and Budafoki MTE finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Budafoki MTE.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Paks II
30%
Draws
12%
Budafoki MTE
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Paks II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Paks II's 1.93 goals per match outpaces what Budafoki MTE have produced (1.57).
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Paks II taking it.
  • Regular NB III - Southwest form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Paks II Clean Sheet 10%
Budafoki MTE Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paks II Budafoki MTE
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 9
Draws 5 6
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.93 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 NB III - Southwest
Paks II vs Budafoki MTE
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paks II Compare

Top Goalscorer Turi C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Budafoki MTE Compare

Top Goalscorer Petro G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Reho B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paks II 83 / 100
Budafoki MTE 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paks II Budafoki MTE

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paks II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paks II's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Budafoki MTE let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Paks II has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Paks II VS Budafoki MTE
2.63 Goals Scored 2
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Paks II

(Home)
31 Oct
Dunaharaszti MTK
0 : 2
Paks II
24 Oct
Sarbogard
0 : 6
Paks II
10 Oct
Budaorsi SC
1 : 1
Paks II
03 Oct
Paks II
8 : 1
Szekszardi
27 Sept
Siofok
3 : 1
Paks II
Page 1 of 6

Budafoki MTE

(Away)
31 Oct
Ivancsa
2 : 1
Budafoki MTE
24 Oct
Budafoki MTE
2 : 2
Erdi
17 Oct
Ferencvaros II
3 : 1
Budafoki MTE
10 Oct
Budafoki MTE
3 : 3
Majosi
03 Oct
Pecsi MFC
2 : 1
Budafoki MTE
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pecsi MFC 13 12 1 0 40:4 37
2 Kaposvar 13 9 1 3 37:17 28
3 Ivancsa 13 8 0 5 31:24 24
4 Ferencvaros II 13 7 3 3 32:18 24
5 Majosi 13 7 3 3 30:27 24
6 Dunaharaszti MTK 13 6 2 5 24:22 20
7 Erdi 13 5 4 4 29:28 19
8 MTK Budapest II 12 6 0 6 31:25 18
9 Budafoki MTE 13 5 3 5 24:22 18
10 Siofok 13 5 2 6 22:18 17
11 PTE-PEAC 13 4 4 5 17:21 16
12 Paks II 13 3 4 6 28:24 13
13 Budaorsi SC 13 3 3 7 20:40 12
14 Sarbogard 13 1 2 10 10:39 5
15 Szekszardi 13 0 0 13 6:52 0
Promotion - NB III - Northeast (Promotion - Play Offs)