Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Paks II vs Ferencvaros II

Hungary Hungary

NB III - Southwest
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Pesti Z.
43' Event
Berenyi E.
56' Event
Berenyi E.

AI Match Summary

Ferencvaros II in this NB III - Southwest matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ferencvaros II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Paks II
22%
Draws
60%
Ferencvaros II
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Ferencvaros II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Ferencvaros II have won more games recently than Paks II.
  • Model gives Ferencvaros II a 60% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Ferencvaros II here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Paks II Clean Sheet 10%
Ferencvaros II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paks II Ferencvaros II
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 11 17
Draws 2 4
Losses 19 9
Goals Scored 1.38 1.88
Goals Conceded 2.25 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 NB III - Southwest
Paks II vs Ferencvaros II
1:3
Aug 10, 2025 NB III - Southwest
Ferencvaros II vs Paks II
2:0
Mar 30, 2025 NB III - Southwest
Ferencvaros II vs Paks II
3:1
Sep 8, 2024 NB III - Southwest
Paks II vs Ferencvaros II
1:2
May 26, 2024 NB III - Southwest
Ferencvaros II vs Paks II
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paks II Compare

Top Goalscorer Pesti Z.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Ferencvaros II Compare

Top Goalscorer Berenyi E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Benczik I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paks II 18 / 100
Ferencvaros II 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paks II Ferencvaros II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FER Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Paks II scored in 78% of their last 32 outings.

Ferencvaros II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Paks II went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Paks II VS Ferencvaros II
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nagykanizsa FC30216364:2769
2Pecsi MFC30207371:2567
3Kaposvar30203764:3263
4Ferencvaros II30174963:4355
5Majosi301731078:4954
6MTK Budapest II301641062:3352
7Erdi30157847:3952
8Dunaujvaros301310758:4249
9Ivancsa301161349:4439
10Siofok301151440:5538
11Paks II301021842:6232
12Szekszardi30941743:7531
13PTE-PEAC306101439:5128
14Balatonlelle30661824:5324
15Penzugyor SE30481831:6120
16Dombovari30032722:1063