Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Paks II vs Gardony Varosi

Hungary Hungary

NB III - Southwest 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Gyurkits G.
(Penalty)
30' Event
Skribek A.
(Penalty)
58' Event
Galambos J.

AI Match Summary

The NB III - Southwest 2024/2025 game between Paks II and Gardony Varosi finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Paks II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Paks II
44%
Draws
20%
Gardony Varosi
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Paks II come out ahead of Gardony Varosi on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Paks II here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Paks II Clean Sheet 12%
Gardony Varosi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paks II Gardony Varosi
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 13 5
Draws 2 5
Losses 20 20
Goals Scored 2.5 0
Goals Conceded 2.5 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 23, 2024 NB III - Southwest
Paks II vs Gardony Varosi
3:2
Aug 7, 2024 NB III - Southwest
Gardony Varosi vs Paks II
0:2
Apr 21, 2024 NB III - Southwest
Gardony Varosi vs Paks II
3:0
Oct 8, 2023 NB III - Southwest
Paks II vs Gardony Varosi
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paks II Compare

Top Goalscorer Galambos J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Gardony Varosi Compare

Top Goalscorer Papucsek B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paks II 35 / 100
Gardony Varosi 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paks II Gardony Varosi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Paks II scored in 80% of their last 35 outings.

Defensive concern: Gardony Varosi conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.25 goals when they meet.

Paks II has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Paks II VS -
2.5 Goals Scored 0
2.5 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
100% Over 2.5 0%
100% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nagykanizsa FC30235273:2474
2Ivancsa30215494:2668
3Ferencvaros II301712167:3163
4Kaposvar30188478:3362
5Pecsi MFC30186666:2960
6Siofok301510556:3255
7Paks II301261251:4642
8Majosi301171240:4540
9MTK Budapest II301151458:5738
10Dunaharaszti MTK301081247:4538
11Bonyhad301051538:5535
12Szekszardi30671730:5425
13PTE-PEAC30632127:7021
14Fonix Gold30632136:9021
15Gardony Varosi30561934:7121
16Dunafoldvar30142522:1097