Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Paks II vs Gerjeni

Hungary Hungary

NB III - Centre 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Debreceni A.
10' Event
Volter P.
17' Event
Debreceni A.

AI Match Summary

The NB III - Centre 2021/2022 game between Paks II and Gerjeni finished 8-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Paks II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Paks II
15%
Draws
0%
Gerjeni
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Paks II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Paks II come out ahead of Gerjeni on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Paks II's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular NB III - Centre 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Paks II Clean Sheet 14%
Gerjeni Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paks II Gerjeni
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 2
Draws 4 3
Losses 16 25
Goals Scored 2.03 0.5
Goals Conceded 2.14 2.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 5, 2021 NB III - Centre
Paks II vs Gerjeni
8:0
Aug 1, 2021 NB III - Centre
Gerjeni vs Paks II
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paks II Compare

Top Goalscorer Debreceni A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Volter P.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Gerjeni Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paks II 84 / 100
Gerjeni 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paks II Gerjeni

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paks II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Paks II scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Gerjeni conceded in 97% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Gerjeni lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Paks II VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Paks II

(Home)
19 Sept
Paks II
1 : 2
Budafoki MTE
05 Sept
PTE-PEAC
1 : 1
Paks II
29 Aug
Paks II
2 : 4
MTK Budapest II
26 Aug
Kaposvar
3 : 1
Paks II
15 Aug
Paks II
0 : 2
Ivancsa
Page 1 of 6

Gerjeni

(Away)
06 Aug
Gerjeni
1 : 7
Lenti TE Sport
29 May
Gerjeni
0 : 2
Vac
22 May
Makoi
3 : 0
Gerjeni
15 May
Gerjeni
0 : 3
Balassagyarmat SE
08 May
Monori
4 : 1
Gerjeni
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kozarmisleny SE 38 27 11 0 80:23 92
2 Balassagyarmat SE 38 25 6 7 69:35 81
3 Dunaujvaros 38 23 9 6 76:37 78
4 Honved II 38 22 4 12 68:53 70
5 Makoi 38 21 6 11 60:33 69
6 Paks II 38 20 4 14 66:46 64
7 Ivancsa 38 18 8 12 74:45 62
8 Monori 38 18 7 13 59:43 61
9 Ferencvaros II 38 17 8 13 58:50 59
10 Hodmezovasarhely 38 15 7 16 55:62 52
11 MTK Budapest II 38 14 10 14 49:52 52
12 FC Dabas 38 13 11 14 63:56 50
13 ESMTK Budapest 38 13 8 17 52:47 47
14 Szekszardi 38 12 10 16 48:50 46
15 Cegledi 38 11 8 19 41:68 41
16 Vac 38 10 9 19 44:68 39
17 Mohacsi 38 8 6 24 37:76 30
18 Dabas-Gyon 38 7 9 22 30:72 30
19 Rakosmenti KSK 38 6 5 27 40:87 23
20 Gerjeni 38 5 4 29 25:91 19
Promotion - Merkantil Bank Liga 2022/2023 (Main)