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Paks II vs MTK Budapest II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Hungary Hungary

NB III - Southwest
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Gorog V.
15' Event
Gyurkits G.
34' Event
Varga D.

AI Match Summary

The NB III - Southwest game between Paks II and MTK Budapest II finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward MTK Budapest II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Paks II
15%
Draws
32%
MTK Budapest II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Paks II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • MTK Budapest II carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Paks II a 53% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Paks II Clean Sheet 10%
MTK Budapest II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paks II MTK Budapest II
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 14
Draws 5 3
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.93 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 NB III - Southwest
Paks II vs MTK Budapest II
2:4
Mar 14, 2026 NB III - Southwest
Paks II vs MTK Budapest II
2:1
Aug 27, 2025 NB III - Southwest
MTK Budapest II vs Paks II
3:0
Nov 17, 2024 NB III - Southwest
MTK Budapest II vs Paks II
1:3
Aug 3, 2024 NB III - Southwest
Paks II vs MTK Budapest II
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paks II Compare

Top Goalscorer Gyurkits G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

MTK Budapest II Compare

Top Goalscorer Gorog V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Varga D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paks II 83 / 100
MTK Budapest II 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paks II MTK Budapest II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paks II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paks II found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

MTK Budapest II let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Paks II has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Paks II VS MTK Budapest II
1.88 Goals Scored 2
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Paks II

(Home)
31 Oct
Dunaharaszti MTK
0 : 2
Paks II
24 Oct
Sarbogard
0 : 6
Paks II
10 Oct
Budaorsi SC
1 : 1
Paks II
03 Oct
Paks II
8 : 1
Szekszardi
27 Sept
Siofok
3 : 1
Paks II
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MTK Budapest II

(Away)
31 Oct
MTK Budapest II
2 : 1
Sarbogard
24 Oct
MTK Budapest II
3 : 4
Kaposvar
17 Oct
Ivancsa
5 : 2
MTK Budapest II
11 Oct
MTK Budapest II
3 : 1
Erdi
03 Oct
Ferencvaros II
2 : 0
MTK Budapest II
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pecsi MFC 13 12 1 0 40:4 37
2 Kaposvar 13 9 1 3 37:17 28
3 Ivancsa 13 8 0 5 31:24 24
4 Ferencvaros II 13 7 3 3 32:18 24
5 Majosi 13 7 3 3 30:27 24
6 Dunaharaszti MTK 13 6 2 5 24:22 20
7 Erdi 13 5 4 4 29:28 19
8 MTK Budapest II 12 6 0 6 31:25 18
9 Budafoki MTE 13 5 3 5 24:22 18
10 Siofok 13 5 2 6 22:18 17
11 PTE-PEAC 13 4 4 5 17:21 16
12 Paks II 13 3 4 6 28:24 13
13 Budaorsi SC 13 3 3 7 20:40 12
14 Sarbogard 13 1 2 10 10:39 5
15 Szekszardi 13 0 0 13 6:52 0
Promotion - NB III - Northeast (Promotion - Play Offs)