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Stadium Background

Paks II vs Siofok

Hungary Hungary

NB III - Southwest 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Wiesner B.
13' Event
Nemeth J.
43' Event
Gruber A.

AI Match Summary

The NB III - Southwest 2025/2026 game between Paks II and Siofok finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Siofok.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Paks II
35%
Draws
52%
Siofok
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Siofok

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Paks II haven't matched Siofok's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Siofok a 52% chance of winning this.
  • Regular NB III - Southwest 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.4%
Paks II Clean Sheet 10%
Siofok Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paks II Siofok
Matches Played 36 35
Wins 12 17
Draws 5 7
Losses 19 11
Goals Scored 2.06 2.11
Goals Conceded 2.19 1.49
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 NB III - Southwest
Paks II vs Siofok
1:3
Jan 31, 2026 Club Friendly
Siofok vs Paks II
7:2
Oct 19, 2025 NB III - Southwest
Siofok vs Paks II
2:1
Apr 20, 2025 NB III - Southwest
Siofok vs Paks II
1:1
Oct 6, 2024 NB III - Southwest
Paks II vs Siofok
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paks II Compare

Top Goalscorer Wiesner B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Siofok Compare

Top Goalscorer Nemeth J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gruber A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paks II 10 / 100
Siofok 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paks II Siofok

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Siofok Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paks II scored in 89% of their last 36 games.

Siofok let in goals in 89% of their last 35 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Paks II went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Paks II VS Siofok
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
88% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Paks II

(Home)
05 Sept
PTE-PEAC
1 : 1
Paks II
29 Aug
Paks II
2 : 4
MTK Budapest II
26 Aug
Kaposvar
3 : 1
Paks II
15 Aug
Paks II
0 : 2
Ivancsa
12 Aug
Paks II
2 : 2
Ferencvaros II
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Siofok

(Away)
05 Sept
Siofok
4 : 1
Budaorsi SC
29 Aug
Szekszardi
1 : 3
Siofok
26 Aug
Sarbogard
1 : 1
Siofok
22 Aug
TFSE-Tent Budapest
2 : 0
Siofok
15 Aug
Siofok
0 : 0
Budafoki MTE
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nagykanizsa FC 30 21 6 3 64:27 69
2 Pecsi MFC 30 20 7 3 71:25 67
3 Kaposvar 30 20 3 7 64:32 63
4 Ferencvaros II 30 17 4 9 63:43 55
5 Majosi 30 17 3 10 78:49 54
6 MTK Budapest II 30 16 4 10 62:33 52
7 Erdi 30 15 7 8 47:39 52
8 Dunaujvaros 30 13 10 7 58:42 49
9 Ivancsa 30 11 6 13 49:44 39
10 Siofok 30 11 5 14 40:55 38
11 Paks II 30 10 2 18 42:62 32
12 Szekszardi 30 9 4 17 43:75 31
13 PTE-PEAC 30 6 10 14 39:51 28
14 Balatonlelle 30 6 6 18 24:53 24
15 Penzugyor SE 30 4 8 18 31:61 20
16 Dombovari 30 0 3 27 22:106 3
Promotion - NB III - Promotion Play Offs (Main)