Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Paks vs Debrecen

Hungary Hungary

NB I. Fehérvári úti stadion, Paks
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Szendrei A.
Assist: Egri I.
22' Event
Szendrei A.
Assist: Denes C.
24' Event
Haraszti Z.

AI Match Summary

Debrecen in this NB I. matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Debrecen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Paks
30%
Draws
31%
Debrecen
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Paks

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Paks lately — more wins on the board than Debrecen.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular NB I. form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Paks Clean Sheet 14%
Debrecen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paks Debrecen
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 14 9
Draws 7 12
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 2.31 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 NB I.
Paks vs Debrecen
2:4
May 3, 2026 NB I.
Paks vs Debrecen
5:2
Feb 7, 2026 NB I.
Debrecen vs Paks
1:0
Oct 18, 2025 NB I.
Paks vs Debrecen
1:1
May 18, 2025 NB I.
Debrecen vs Paks
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paks Compare

Top Goalscorer Haraszti Z.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Toth B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Debrecen Compare

Top Goalscorer Szendrei A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Guerrero A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paks 30 / 100
Debrecen 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paks Debrecen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paks Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paks scored in 84% of their last 32 games.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Debrecen let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Paks stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Paks VS Debrecen
2.13 Goals Scored 0.88
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Paks

(Home)
19 Sept
Kisvarda FC
0 : 1
Paks
12 Sept
Kazincbarcika
1 : 2
Paks
05 Sept
Paks
2 : 4
Debrecen
29 Aug
Nyiregyhaza
1 : 1
Paks
21 Aug
Paks
2 : 0
Ujpest
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Debrecen

(Away)
19 Sept
Debrecen
2 : 4
Vasas
12 Sept
Godollo
2 : 3
Debrecen
05 Sept
Paks
2 : 4
Debrecen
28 Aug
Debrecen
2 : 2
MTK Budapest
23 Aug
Kisvarda FC
0 : 0
Debrecen
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Puskas Academy 8 5 0 3 13:10 15
2 Gyor 8 4 3 1 16:10 15
3 Vasas 8 4 2 2 17:11 14
4 Ujpest 8 4 2 2 17:13 14
5 Ferencvaros 7 3 3 1 11:8 12
6 Paks 8 3 2 3 16:17 11
7 MTK Budapest 8 2 3 3 15:14 9
8 Kisvarda FC 8 2 3 3 9:10 9
9 Debrecen 8 2 3 3 12:15 9
10 Nyiregyhaza 8 2 2 4 9:14 8
11 Zalaegerszegi 8 2 0 6 7:17 6
12 Honved 7 1 3 3 11:14 6
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - NB I. (Relegation)
Relegation - NB II. 2027/2028 (Main)