Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Paks vs Honved

Hungary Hungary

NB I. Fehérvári úti stadion, Paks
Sun, Aug 9, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Paks host Honved in the NB I.. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Paks have averaged 2.13 scored and 1.63 conceded recently, against Honved's 2.25 scored and 0.88 conceded. Head-to-head, Paks have won 4 to Honved's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Oct 31, 2024, ending 1:5. Model xG sits at 1.50 vs 1.94, favoring Honved. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Paks
30%
Draws
47%
Honved
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Honved

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Honved come out ahead of Paks on wins alone.
  • Model gives Honved a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular NB I. form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Paks have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Paks Clean Sheet 10%
Honved Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paks Honved
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 13 17
Draws 6 5
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 2.13 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2024 Hungarian Cup
Honved vs Paks
1:5
Nov 2, 2023 Hungarian Cup
Honved vs Paks
2:3
Apr 1, 2023 NB I.
Honved vs Paks
1:2
Nov 6, 2022 NB I.
Paks vs Honved
5:0
Aug 14, 2022 NB I.
Honved vs Paks
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paks 10 / 100
Honved 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paks Honved

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HON Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paks scored in 81% of their last 32 games.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Honved let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Paks went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Paks VS Honved
2.13 Goals Scored 2.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Paks

(Home)
03 Aug
Zalaegerszegi
5 : 2
Paks
30 Jul
Panathinaikos
2 : 2
Paks
26 Jul
Paks
4 : 2
Ferencvaros
23 Jul
Paks
1 : 2
Panathinaikos
17 Jul
Austria Vienna
4 : 1
Paks
Page 1 of 7

Honved

(Away)
01 Aug
Honved
3 : 3
MTK Budapest
25 Jul
Kisvarda FC
1 : 1
Honved
18 Jul
Osijek
2 : 1
Honved
11 Jul
Monori
0 : 6
Honved
08 Jul
Honved
2 : 0
Soroksar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gyor 2 1 1 0 6:2 4
2 MTK Budapest 2 1 1 0 6:3 4
3 Kisvarda FC 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
4 Ujpest 2 1 0 1 5:4 3
5 Zalaegerszegi 2 1 0 1 5:5 3
6 Puskas Academy 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
7 Paks 2 1 0 1 6:7 3
8 Nyiregyhaza 2 1 0 1 2:5 3
9 Honved 2 0 2 0 4:4 2
10 Vasas 2 0 2 0 2:2 2
11 Ferencvaros 2 0 1 1 2:4 1
12 Debrecen 2 0 0 2 2:6 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - NB I. (Relegation)
Relegation - NB II. 2027/2028 (Main)