Sport Picks
Paks vs MTK Budapest - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Hungary
NB I. Fehérvári úti stadion, Paks 
AI Match Summary
Paks host MTK Budapest in the NB I.. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Paks have averaged 2.38 scored and 1.69 conceded recently, against MTK Budapest's 1.73 scored and 1.73 conceded. Past meetings favor Paks slightly — 5-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 20, 2026, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 1.81 vs 2.19, favoring Paks. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Paks have won more games recently than MTK Budapest.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Paks have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Paks | MTK Budapest |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 8 |
| Draws | 7 | 12 |
| Losses | 10 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 2.38 | 1.73 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.69 | 1.73 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 2.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Paks scored in 88% of their last 32 games.
MTK Budapest's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.
Paks went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Paks
(Home)MTK Budapest
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Puskas Academy | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 13:10 | 15 |
| 2 | Gyor | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16:10 | 15 |
| 3 | Vasas | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17:11 | 14 |
| 4 | Ujpest | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 5 | Ferencvaros | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11:8 | 12 |
| 6 | Paks | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 16:17 | 11 |
| 7 | MTK Budapest | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 15:14 | 9 |
| 8 | Kisvarda FC | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:10 | 9 |
| 9 | Debrecen | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12:15 | 9 |
| 10 | Nyiregyhaza | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:14 | 8 |
| 11 | Zalaegerszegi | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7:17 | 6 |
| 12 | Honved | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 11:14 | 6 |
