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Paks vs Ujpest - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Hungary Hungary

NB I. Fehérvári úti stadion, Paks
Paks Logo

Paks

2 - 0
FT
Ujpest Logo

Ujpest

Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Windecker J.
21' Event
Windecker J.
Assist: Lapu A.
36' Event
Szalai J.
Assist: Papp K.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Paks in this NB I. matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Paks.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Paks
15%
Draws
37%
Ujpest
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Paks

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Paks have won more games recently than Ujpest.
  • Model gives Paks a 48% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Paks Clean Sheet 18%
Ujpest Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paks Ujpest
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 12
Draws 7 9
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 2.3 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 NB I.
Paks vs Ujpest
2:0
Mar 7, 2026 NB I.
Ujpest vs Paks
0:0
Nov 23, 2025 NB I.
Paks vs Ujpest
1:3
Aug 10, 2025 NB I.
Ujpest vs Paks
1:2
Mar 14, 2025 NB I.
Paks vs Ujpest
6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paks Compare

Top Goalscorer Windecker J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Szalai J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Ujpest Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paks 40 / 100
Ujpest 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paks Ujpest

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paks Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paks scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Ujpest's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Paks went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Paks VS Ujpest
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Paks

(Home)
01 Nov
Ferencvaros
2 : 0
Paks
28 Oct
Cigand SE
1 : 2
Paks
25 Oct
Vasas
0 : 2
Paks
17 Oct
Paks
1 : 2
Gyor
10 Oct
Paks
3 : 0
MTK Budapest
Page 1 of 6

Ujpest

(Away)
01 Nov
Ujpest
2 : 1
Nyiregyhaza
29 Oct
Szeged-Csanad GA
1 : 3
Ujpest
24 Oct
Gyor
1 : 0
Ujpest
17 Oct
Ujpest
0 : 1
Puskas Academy
11 Oct
Honved
1 : 1
Ujpest
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gyor 12 6 4 2 21:14 22
2 Puskas Academy 12 7 0 5 17:15 21
3 Ferencvaros 11 5 5 1 20:10 20
4 Debrecen 12 5 4 3 21:17 19
5 Ujpest 12 5 3 4 20:17 18
6 Paks 12 5 2 5 22:21 17
7 Vasas 12 4 4 4 20:17 16
8 Zalaegerszegi 12 4 1 7 16:22 13
9 Honved 11 3 4 4 14:17 13
10 MTK Budapest 12 3 3 6 16:25 12
11 Kisvarda FC 12 2 6 4 12:14 12
12 Nyiregyhaza 12 3 2 7 13:23 11
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - NB I. (Relegation)
Relegation - NB II. 2027/2028 (Main)