Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pakwach Young Stars vs Onduparaka - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uganda Uganda

Big League
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pakwach Young Stars host Onduparaka in the Big League. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Onduparaka have shipped 1.32 goals a game lately, while Pakwach Young Stars have conceded 0.5 and scored 1. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (1.06 - 0.38) back Pakwach Young Stars to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Pakwach Young Stars
22%
Draws
31%
Onduparaka
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Pakwach Young Stars

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Onduparaka come out ahead of Pakwach Young Stars on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Pakwach Young Stars's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Big League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Pakwach Young Stars Clean Sheet 20%
Onduparaka Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pakwach Young Stars Onduparaka
Matches Played 4 28
Wins 2 7
Draws 0 9
Losses 2 12
Goals Scored 1 0.82
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pakwach Young Stars 67 / 100
Onduparaka 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pakwach Young Stars Onduparaka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pakwach Young Stars Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Onduparaka conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

Pakwach Young Stars's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 4 recent games.

Pakwach Young Stars has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Onduparaka registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pakwach Young Stars VS Onduparaka
0.75 Goals Scored 0.5
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
25% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Pakwach Young Stars

(Home)
04 Oct
Pakwach Young Stars
3 : 0
Kaaro Karungi
27 Sept
Iganga United
1 : 0
Pakwach Young Stars
13 Apr
Pajule Lions
1 : 0
Pakwach Young Stars
07 Mar
Dove
0 : 1
Pakwach Young Stars

Onduparaka

(Away)
27 Sept
Kiyinda Boys
3 : 1
Onduparaka
06 Jun
Onduparaka
0 : 0
Blacks Power
23 May
Catda
1 : 0
Onduparaka
17 May
Onduparaka
0 : 0
Paidha Black Angels
09 May
Mbale Heroes
0 : 1
Onduparaka
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paidha Black Angels 2 2 0 0 2:0 6
2 Young Elephant Academy 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
3 Amus College FC 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
4 Pakwach Young Stars 2 1 0 1 3:1 3
5 Kiyinda Boys 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
6 Catda 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
7 SC Volcanoes 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
8 Calvary 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
9 Iganga United 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
10 Rwenzori Lions 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
11 Buwambo United 2 0 1 1 1:4 1
12 Onduparaka 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
13 Kaaro Karungi 3 0 0 3 0:6 0
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)