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Palamos CF vs Manlleu AEC

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 5 2016/2017
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 5 2016/2017 game between Palamos CF and Manlleu AEC finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Palamos CF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Palamos CF
15%
Draws
51%
Manlleu AEC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Manlleu AEC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Manlleu AEC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 5 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Palamos CF have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Palamos CF Clean Sheet 20%
Manlleu AEC Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Palamos CF Manlleu AEC
Matches Played 36 33
Wins 9 11
Draws 11 12
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 1.31 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.56 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 9, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Palamos CF vs Manlleu AEC
3:1
Nov 13, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Manlleu AEC vs Palamos CF
3:3
May 8, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Palamos CF vs Manlleu AEC
2:0
Dec 19, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Manlleu AEC vs Palamos CF
0:4
Apr 12, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Palamos CF vs Manlleu AEC
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Palamos CF 32 / 100
Manlleu AEC 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Palamos CF Manlleu AEC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Palamos CF's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 36 recent games.

Defensive concern: Manlleu AEC conceded in 76% of 33 recent games.

Solid form: Palamos CF remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Palamos CF VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Palamos CF

(Home)
17 Aug
Palamos CF
1 : 4
Sant Andreu
05 Jan
Lausanne
3 : 1
Palamos CF
10 Aug
Palamos CF
2 : 3
Terrassa
07 Aug
Palamos CF
2 : 1
Olot
27 Jul
Palamos CF
2 : 0
Al Arabi (Qatar)
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Manlleu AEC

(Away)
14 May
Manlleu AEC
4 : 3
Olot
07 May
FC Vilafranca
2 : 0
Manlleu AEC
30 Apr
Manlleu AEC
3 : 1
Peralada
23 Apr
La Jonquera
2 : 1
Manlleu AEC
13 Apr
Manlleu AEC
2 : 1
Sabadell B
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olot 38 24 8 6 73:38 80
2 Peralada 38 24 5 9 68:27 77
3 Terrassa 38 19 9 10 48:26 66
4 FC Vilafranca 38 18 10 10 60:37 64
5 Sant Andreu 38 16 12 10 51:40 60
6 FC Asco 38 15 12 11 44:37 57
7 Pobla Mafumet 38 12 19 7 43:36 55
8 Granollers 38 14 8 16 47:54 50
9 UE Figueres 38 12 14 12 39:41 50
10 Vilassar de Mar 38 13 11 14 40:44 50
11 Palamos CF 38 13 10 15 49:55 49
12 CE Europa 38 11 14 13 28:32 47
13 Santfeliuenc 38 11 12 15 39:44 45
14 Cerdanyola del Valles 38 11 12 15 43:51 45
15 UE Castelldefels 38 11 9 18 34:51 42
16 La Jonquera 38 10 12 16 19:29 42
17 Montanesa 38 11 9 18 32:48 42
18 Manlleu AEC 38 8 16 14 41:59 40
19 Jupiter 38 7 14 17 32:52 35
20 Sabadell B 38 7 10 21 34:63 31
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2016/2017 (Main)