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Palanga vs FK Kauno Zalgiris Prediction & H2H Stats

Lithuania Lithuania

A Lyga 2019
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Diakvnishvili G.
Assist: Mosnikov S.
15' Event
Matulevicius D.
Assist: Romanovskij D.
40'
Sadauskas R.

AI Match Summary

FK Kauno Zalgiris in this A Lyga 2019 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored FK Kauno Zalgiris.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Palanga
15%
Draws
54%
FK Kauno Zalgiris
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Kauno Zalgiris

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • FK Kauno Zalgiris have won more games recently than Palanga.
  • FK Kauno Zalgiris are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors FK Kauno Zalgiris here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Palanga Clean Sheet 19%
FK Kauno Zalgiris Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Palanga FK Kauno Zalgiris
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 8 19
Draws 1 11
Losses 21 7
Goals Scored 1.07 1.78
Goals Conceded 2.03 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2019 TOPLYGA
Palanga vs FK Kauno Zalgiris
2:3
Jun 29, 2019 TOPLYGA
FK Kauno Zalgiris vs Palanga
4:0
May 5, 2019 TOPLYGA
Palanga vs FK Kauno Zalgiris
0:3
Mar 9, 2019 TOPLYGA
FK Kauno Zalgiris vs Palanga
6:1
Oct 5, 2018 TOPLYGA
FK Kauno Zalgiris vs Palanga
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Palanga Compare

Top Goalscorer Diakvnishvili G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

FK Kauno Zalgiris Compare

Top Goalscorer Matulevicius D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Klimavicius A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Palanga 10 / 100
FK Kauno Zalgiris 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Palanga FK Kauno Zalgiris

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Kauno Zalgiris Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Palanga scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Palanga has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

FK Kauno Zalgiris has conceded goals in 51% of their last 37 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS FK Kauno Zalgiris
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Palanga

(Home)
09 Nov
Palanga
2 : 2
Banga
03 Nov
Banga
2 : 0
Palanga
26 Oct
Atlantas
0 : 1
Palanga
12 Oct
Palanga
0 : 4
Suduva
05 Oct
FC Stumbras
0 : 3
Palanga
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FK Kauno Zalgiris

(Away)
20 Sept
FA Siauliai
0 : 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris
16 Sept
Zalgiris
3 : 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris
13 Sept
FK Panevezys
0 : 1
FK Kauno Zalgiris
09 Sept
FK Kauno Zalgiris
5 : 1
Suduva
06 Sept
FK Kauno Zalgiris
5 : 0
Dziugas Telsiai
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Suduva 28 25 0 3 74:15 75
2 Zalgiris 28 21 2 5 67:22 65
3 Riteriai 28 13 7 8 44:29 46
4 FK Kauno Zalgiris 28 13 5 10 48:39 44
5 FK Panevezys 28 8 7 13 41:53 31
6 Atlantas 28 7 5 16 26:53 26
7 Palanga 28 6 1 21 29:70 19
8 FC Stumbras 28 4 3 21 12:60 15
Relegation - A Lyga 2019 (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga 2020 (Main)
Promotion - A Lyga 2019 (Championship Group)
Promotion - A Lyga 2019 (Championship Group)
Promotion - A Lyga 2019 (Championship Group)
Promotion - A Lyga 2019 (Championship Group)
Promotion - A Lyga 2019 (Championship Group)
Promotion - A Lyga 2019 (Championship Group)