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Palencia CA vs Atletico Tordesillas

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Palencia CA play Atletico Tordesillas in the Tercera RFEF - Group 8. It looks like a close match. Recently, Palencia CA averaged 1.33 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. Atletico Tordesillas averaged 1.93 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. In past meetings, Palencia CA won 1, Atletico Tordesillas won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 7, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Palencia CA and 1.50 for Atletico Tordesillas. This points to a Atletico Tordesillas double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Palencia CA
16%
Draws
47%
Atletico Tordesillas
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Atletico Tordesillas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Palencia CA picked up more points recently compared to Atletico Tordesillas.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 1.50 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%
Palencia CA Clean Sheet 16%
Atletico Tordesillas Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 59%
Second Half Goal 63%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Palencia CA Atletico Tordesillas
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 22
Draws 5 4
Losses 8 4
Goals Scored 1.33 1.93
Goals Conceded 0.8 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Palencia CA vs Atletico Tordesillas
0:0
Sep 27, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Atletico Tordesillas vs Palencia CA
0:1
Mar 30, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Palencia CA vs Atletico Tordesillas
0:1
Nov 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Atletico Tordesillas vs Palencia CA
3:2
Jan 27, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Atletico Tordesillas vs Palencia CA
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Palencia CA 37 / 100
Atletico Tordesillas 45 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Palencia CA Atletico Tordesillas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Atletico Tordesillas or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +27.6%
3.45
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.38
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Palencia CA attacking → ← attacking Atletico Tordesillas

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Palencia CA scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Atletico Tordesillas let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Palencia CA went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Atletico Tordesillas lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

56 Points in last 5 70
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 2.25
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Atletico Tordesillas34246462:2478
2Guijuelo34217654:2670
3Palencia CA34215848:2468
4Palencia CF342041059:3964
5Santa Marta Tormes34188853:3162
6Mansilles341512731:2757
7Almazan3412121049:3848
8Mirandes B341381343:3547
9La Virgen341281431:3744
10Villaralbo341191429:3742
11Leonesa B341261638:4342
12Arandina349101532:4637
13Colegios Diocesanos341061833:5436
14Bembibre348101638:5234
15Unionistas de Salamanca B346131532:4331
16CD Mojados347101728:5531
17Becerril34781941:6029
18Numancia B34662226:5624