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Stadium Background

Palencia CA vs Bembibre

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Basalo A.
65' Event
Castro B.

AI Match Summary

Bembibre in this Tercera RFEF - Group 8 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bembibre.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Palencia CA
35%
Draws
30%
Bembibre
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Palencia CA have won more games recently than Bembibre.
  • 30% — that's where the model lands on Bembibre taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Palencia CA Clean Sheet 19%
Bembibre Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Palencia CA Bembibre
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 16 6
Draws 7 11
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.26 1
Goals Conceded 0.81 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Palencia CA vs Bembibre
0:2
Mar 7, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Palencia CA vs Bembibre
2:0
Oct 26, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Bembibre vs Palencia CA
0:1
Mar 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Bembibre vs Palencia CA
1:1
Nov 3, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Palencia CA vs Bembibre
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Palencia CA Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Bembibre Compare

Top Goalscorer Basalo A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Castro B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Palencia CA 28 / 100
Bembibre 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Palencia CA Bembibre

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bembibre Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Palencia CA's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Bembibre let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Palencia CA has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Palencia CA VS Bembibre
1 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Palencia CA

(Home)
20 Sept
Palencia CA
1 : 0
Guijuelo
12 Sept
Mansilles
1 : 1
Palencia CA
05 Sept
Palencia CA
0 : 2
Bembibre
22 Aug
Palencia CA
1 : 1
Atletico Tordesillas
15 Aug
CD Laredo
1 : 1
Palencia CA
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Bembibre

(Away)
20 Sept
Bembibre
0 : 2
Mansilles
13 Sept
Bembibre
1 : 1
Mirandes B
05 Sept
Palencia CA
0 : 2
Bembibre
29 Aug
Bembibre
0 : 0
La Virgen
10 May
Palencia CF
4 : 1
Bembibre
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Burgos CF B 3 3 0 0 7:0 9
2 La Virgen 3 3 0 0 7:2 9
3 Santa Marta Tormes 3 3 0 0 6:1 9
4 Leonesa B 3 3 0 0 4:0 9
5 Mansilles 3 2 1 0 5:2 7
6 Calasanz de Soria 3 2 0 1 5:6 6
7 Almazan 3 1 2 0 5:4 5
8 Arandina 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
9 Bembibre 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
10 Palencia CA 3 1 1 1 2:3 4
11 Guijuelo 3 1 0 2 3:3 3
12 Palencia CF 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
13 Salamanca CF UDS B 3 0 1 2 5:7 1
14 Unionistas de Salamanca B 3 0 1 2 4:6 1
15 Villaralbo 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
16 Mirandes B 3 0 1 2 1:4 1
17 Turegano 3 0 0 3 2:6 0
18 Colegios Diocesanos 3 0 0 3 0:8 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 (Play Offs)