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Palencia CA vs Cuellar Balompie Prediction & H2H Stats

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 8 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Palencia CA in this Tercera Division - Group 8 2012/2013 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Palencia CA.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Palencia CA
30%
Draws
8%
Cuellar Balompie
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Palencia CA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Palencia CA lately — more wins on the board than Cuellar Balompie.
  • Palencia CA are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 8 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Palencia CA Clean Sheet 20%
Cuellar Balompie Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Palencia CA Cuellar Balompie
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 17 1
Draws 7 5
Losses 8 24
Goals Scored 1.28 0.6
Goals Conceded 0.78 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 17, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Cuellar Balompie vs Palencia CA
0:2
Sep 30, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Palencia CA vs Cuellar Balompie
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Palencia CA 85 / 100
Cuellar Balompie 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Palencia CA Cuellar Balompie

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Palencia CA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cuellar Balompie let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Palencia CA found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (32 games).

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Palencia CA has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Palencia CA VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Palencia CA

(Home)
26 Sept
La Virgen
0 : 1
Palencia CA
20 Sept
Palencia CA
1 : 0
Guijuelo
12 Sept
Mansilles
1 : 1
Palencia CA
05 Sept
Palencia CA
0 : 2
Bembibre
22 Aug
Palencia CA
1 : 1
Atletico Tordesillas
Page 1 of 7

Cuellar Balompie

(Away)
19 May
Cuellar Balompie
0 : 1
Unami CP
12 May
La Granja
1 : 1
Cuellar Balompie
05 May
Burgos CF
4 : 0
Cuellar Balompie
27 Apr
Cuellar Balompie
0 : 5
Real Avila
20 Apr
Villaralbo
2 : 0
Cuellar Balompie
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Burgos CF 38 28 6 4 80:19 90
2 Leonesa 38 25 7 6 70:25 82
3 Arandina 38 25 7 6 66:22 82
4 Gimnastica Segoviana 38 24 3 11 80:38 75
5 Valladolid Promesas 38 22 7 9 68:25 73
6 La Granja 38 20 9 9 50:36 69
7 Atletico Astorga 38 20 8 10 60:41 68
8 Bembibre 38 16 11 11 55:43 59
9 La Virgen 38 16 9 13 51:51 57
10 Real Avila 38 16 7 15 47:46 55
11 Numancia B 38 15 8 15 51:56 53
12 Palencia CA 38 11 10 17 36:47 43
13 Almazan 38 11 10 17 36:55 43
14 Unami CP 38 11 5 22 39:67 38
15 UD Salamanca (Inactive) B 38 8 12 18 27:48 36
16 Racing Lermeno 38 8 10 20 35:64 34
17 Santa Marta Tormes 38 7 11 20 25:50 32
18 Palencia CF 38 9 5 24 32:67 32
19 Villaralbo 38 9 5 24 24:65 32
20 Cuellar Balompie 38 1 6 31 20:87 9
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)