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Stadium Background

Palencia CA vs Guijuelo

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Villardon H.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 8 game between Palencia CA and Guijuelo finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Palencia CA.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Palencia CA
30%
Draws
23%
Guijuelo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Palencia CA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Guijuelo come out ahead of Palencia CA on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Palencia CA's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 8 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Palencia CA Clean Sheet 68%
Guijuelo Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Palencia CA Guijuelo
Matches Played 31 36
Wins 16 19
Draws 7 6
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.26 1.44
Goals Conceded 0.81 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Palencia CA vs Guijuelo
1:0
Apr 26, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Guijuelo vs Palencia CA
1:2
Dec 20, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Palencia CA vs Guijuelo
1:2
Jan 22, 2023 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Palencia CA vs Guijuelo
3:0
Sep 4, 2022 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Guijuelo vs Palencia CA
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Palencia CA Compare

Top Goalscorer Villardon H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Guijuelo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Palencia CA 59 / 100
Guijuelo 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Palencia CA Guijuelo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Palencia CA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Palencia CA found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: Guijuelo conceded in 64% of 36 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Palencia CA has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Palencia CA VS Guijuelo
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Palencia CA

(Home)
20 Sept
Palencia CA
1 : 0
Guijuelo
12 Sept
Mansilles
1 : 1
Palencia CA
05 Sept
Palencia CA
0 : 2
Bembibre
22 Aug
Palencia CA
1 : 1
Atletico Tordesillas
15 Aug
CD Laredo
1 : 1
Palencia CA
Page 1 of 7

Guijuelo

(Away)
20 Sept
Palencia CA
1 : 0
Guijuelo
12 Sept
Turegano
1 : 3
Guijuelo
06 Sept
Calasanz de Soria
1 : 0
Guijuelo
22 Aug
Unionistas de Salamanca B
4 : 1
Guijuelo
19 Aug
Guijuelo
1 : 2
Ribert
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Burgos CF B 3 3 0 0 7:0 9
2 La Virgen 3 3 0 0 7:2 9
3 Santa Marta Tormes 3 3 0 0 6:1 9
4 Leonesa B 3 3 0 0 4:0 9
5 Mansilles 3 2 1 0 5:2 7
6 Calasanz de Soria 3 2 0 1 5:6 6
7 Almazan 3 1 2 0 5:4 5
8 Arandina 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
9 Bembibre 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
10 Palencia CA 3 1 1 1 2:3 4
11 Guijuelo 3 1 0 2 3:3 3
12 Palencia CF 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
13 Salamanca CF UDS B 3 0 1 2 5:7 1
14 Unionistas de Salamanca B 3 0 1 2 4:6 1
15 Villaralbo 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
16 Mirandes B 3 0 1 2 1:4 1
17 Turegano 3 0 0 3 2:6 0
18 Colegios Diocesanos 3 0 0 3 0:8 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 (Play Offs)