Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Palencia CA vs Villaralbo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Palencia CA host Villaralbo in the Tercera RFEF - Group 8. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Palencia CA at 1.32 goals for, 0.77 against; Villaralbo at 1.24 for, 1.17 against. Head-to-head, Palencia CA have won 3 to Villaralbo's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Jan 18, 2026, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.38, favoring Palencia CA. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Palencia CA
35%
Draws
21%
Villaralbo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Palencia CA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Palencia CA carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 44% — that's where the model lands on Palencia CA taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 8 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Palencia CA Clean Sheet 17%
Villaralbo Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Palencia CA Villaralbo
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 17 10
Draws 7 9
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.32 1.24
Goals Conceded 0.77 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Palencia CA vs Villaralbo
2:0
Sep 6, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Villaralbo vs Palencia CA
0:2
Feb 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Villaralbo vs Palencia CA
0:0
Sep 28, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Palencia CA vs Villaralbo
0:0
Mar 2, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Palencia CA vs Villaralbo
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Palencia CA 57 / 100
Villaralbo 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Palencia CA Villaralbo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Palencia CA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Palencia CA went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Palencia CA's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Villaralbo let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Palencia CA VS Villaralbo
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Palencia CA

(Home)
10 Oct
Arandina
1 : 3
Palencia CA
04 Oct
Palencia CA
3 : 0
Unionistas de Salamanca B
26 Sept
La Virgen
0 : 1
Palencia CA
20 Sept
Palencia CA
1 : 0
Guijuelo
12 Sept
Mansilles
1 : 1
Palencia CA
Page 1 of 7

Villaralbo

(Away)
10 Oct
Villaralbo
2 : 2
Turegano
03 Oct
Calasanz de Soria
2 : 2
Villaralbo
26 Sept
Villaralbo
4 : 0
Salamanca CF UDS B
19 Sept
Almazan
2 : 2
Villaralbo
13 Sept
Villaralbo
1 : 2
Santa Marta Tormes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Burgos CF B 5 4 1 0 9:1 13
2 Santa Marta Tormes 5 4 0 1 8:4 12
3 Mansilles 4 3 1 0 6:2 10
4 Bembibre 5 3 1 1 7:4 10
5 Palencia CA 5 3 1 1 6:3 10
6 Leonesa B 5 3 1 1 4:2 10
7 La Virgen 5 3 0 2 7:5 9
8 Arandina 5 2 2 1 7:6 8
9 Almazan 5 1 4 0 8:7 7
10 Palencia CF 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
11 Calasanz de Soria 5 2 1 2 7:9 7
12 Villaralbo 5 1 2 2 9:7 5
13 Salamanca CF UDS B 5 1 1 3 6:11 4
14 Guijuelo 4 1 0 3 4:5 3
15 Turegano 5 0 2 3 3:7 2
16 Unionistas de Salamanca B 5 0 2 3 4:9 2
17 Mirandes B 5 0 1 4 2:7 1
18 Colegios Diocesanos 5 0 1 4 1:10 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 (Play Offs)