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Palencia CF vs Turegano - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Palencia CF host Turegano in the Tercera RFEF - Group 8. Palencia CF are expected to control this from the start. Palencia CF have averaged 1.67 scored and 1.3 conceded recently, against Turegano's 0.91 scored and 2 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (1.27 xG vs 0.79) point toward Palencia CF. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Palencia CF
35%
Draws
19%
Turegano
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Palencia CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Palencia CF carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Palencia CF a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 8 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Palencia CF Clean Sheet 20%
Turegano Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Palencia CF Turegano
Matches Played 33 11
Wins 16 1
Draws 4 4
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1.67 0.91
Goals Conceded 1.3 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.27 0.79
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Palencia CF 40 / 100
Turegano 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Palencia CF Turegano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Palencia CF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Palencia CF's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Turegano's defensive record shows goals conceded in 91% of 11 matches.

Recent resilience: Palencia CF stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Turegano's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Palencia CF VS Turegano
1.25 Goals Scored 0.71
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.29
63% Over 1.5 57%
25% Over 2.5 43%
13% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Palencia CF

(Home)
03 Oct
Almazan
2 : 2
Palencia CF
27 Sept
Palencia CF
3 : 0
Santa Marta Tormes
20 Sept
Burgos CF B
3 : 0
Palencia CF
13 Sept
Palencia CF
0 : 1
Leonesa B
06 Sept
Mirandes B
0 : 2
Palencia CF
Page 1 of 7

Turegano

(Away)
10 Oct
Villaralbo
2 : 2
Turegano
03 Oct
Turegano
1 : 1
Arandina
26 Sept
Unionistas de Salamanca B
0 : 0
Turegano
19 Sept
Turegano
0 : 1
La Virgen
12 Sept
Turegano
1 : 3
Guijuelo
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Burgos CF B 5 4 1 0 9:1 13
2 Palencia CA 6 4 1 1 9:4 13
3 Leonesa B 6 4 1 1 9:4 13
4 Bembibre 6 4 1 1 9:5 13
5 Santa Marta Tormes 5 4 0 1 8:4 12
6 La Virgen 6 4 0 2 8:5 12
7 Mansilles 5 3 1 1 6:3 10
8 Arandina 6 2 2 2 8:9 8
9 Palencia CF 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
10 Almazan 6 1 4 1 10:12 7
11 Calasanz de Soria 5 2 1 2 7:9 7
12 Villaralbo 6 1 3 2 11:9 6
13 Guijuelo 5 2 0 3 6:5 6
14 Salamanca CF UDS B 5 1 1 3 6:11 4
15 Turegano 6 0 3 3 5:9 3
16 Unionistas de Salamanca B 6 0 2 4 5:11 2
17 Mirandes B 6 0 1 5 2:9 1
18 Colegios Diocesanos 5 0 1 4 1:10 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 (Play Offs)