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Stadium Background

Palermo U19 vs Perugia U19

Italy Italy

Primavera 2 2025/2026
Palermo U19 Logo

Palermo U19

0 - 1
FT
Perugia U19 Logo

Perugia U19

Our Tip

Match Events

60' Event
Merico F.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Perugia U19 in this Primavera 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Perugia U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Palermo U19
15%
Draws
46%
Perugia U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Perugia U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Perugia U19 have won more games recently than Palermo U19.
  • Win probability leans Perugia U19's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Primavera 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Palermo U19 Clean Sheet 16%
Perugia U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Palermo U19 Perugia U19
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 7 19
Draws 13 6
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.35 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.42 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Primavera 2
Palermo U19 vs Perugia U19
0:1
Oct 25, 2025 Primavera 2
Perugia U19 vs Palermo U19
2:1
Apr 12, 2025 Primavera 2
Perugia U19 vs Palermo U19
1:0
Jan 11, 2025 Primavera 2
Palermo U19 vs Perugia U19
2:1
Feb 24, 2024 Primavera 2
Palermo U19 vs Perugia U19
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Palermo U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Perugia U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Merico F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Palermo U19 11 / 100
Perugia U19 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Palermo U19 Perugia U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Perugia U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Palermo U19 found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Palermo U19 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Perugia U19 let in goals in 59% of their last 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

Palermo U19 VS Perugia U19
2.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Palermo U19

(Home)
19 Sept
Palermo U19
2 : 2
Bari U19
12 Sept
Spezia U19
2 : 3
Palermo U19
08 Sept
Palermo U19
3 : 1
Pescara U19
29 Aug
Vicenza U19
0 : 1
Palermo U19
09 May
Palermo U19
0 : 1
Perugia U19
Page 1 of 7

Perugia U19

(Away)
19 Sept
Salernitana U19
0 : 6
Perugia U19
12 Sept
Perugia U19
3 : 0
Monopoli U19
04 Sept
Pisa U19
2 : 3
Perugia U19
23 May
Perugia U19
1 : 2
Modena U19
16 May
Perugia U19
2 : 0
Reggiana U19
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Como U19 30 18 7 5 58:31 61
2 Lecco U19 30 18 6 6 65:50 60
3 Modena U19 30 16 7 7 55:38 55
4 AlbinoLeffe U19 30 14 5 11 58:59 47
5 Reggiana U19 30 13 7 10 58:44 46
6 Pro Vercelli U19 30 14 4 12 44:46 46
7 Entella U19 30 10 13 7 47:38 43
8 Sampdoria U19 30 12 5 13 57:48 41
9 Vicenza U19 30 10 8 12 45:53 38
10 Sudtirol U19 30 9 10 11 36:37 37
11 Udinese U19 30 9 9 12 53:50 36
12 Cittadella U19 30 9 9 12 42:49 36
13 Renate U19 30 7 12 11 34:44 33
14 Union Brescia U19 30 9 3 18 31:46 30
15 Venezia U19 30 6 8 16 32:63 26
16 Padova U19 30 6 7 17 34:53 25
Promotion - Primavera 1 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Empoli U19 30 23 5 2 74:19 74
2 Perugia U19 30 16 7 7 47:27 55
3 Pescara U19 30 15 7 8 51:37 52
4 Avellino U19 30 13 12 5 54:36 51
5 Pisa U19 30 13 9 8 54:41 48
6 Spezia U19 30 15 3 12 55:43 48
7 Catanzaro U19 30 14 6 10 42:35 48
8 Benevento U19 30 13 5 12 42:50 44
9 Ternana U19 30 11 9 10 51:54 42
10 Monopoli U19 30 10 7 13 39:50 37
11 Bari U19 30 9 8 13 42:42 35
12 Ascoli U19 30 8 9 13 47:50 33
13 Palermo U19 30 5 12 13 35:43 27
14 Cosenza U19 30 6 9 15 32:62 27
15 Salernitana U19 30 6 6 18 28:62 24
16 Crotone U19 30 1 10 19 20:62 13
Promotion - Primavera 1 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)