Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Palermo U19 vs Spezia U19

Italy Italy

Primavera 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Ferrazza D.
53' Event
Di Gregorio A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Primavera 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Palermo U19
20%
Draws
30%
Spezia U19
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Palermo U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Palermo U19 haven't matched Spezia U19's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Palermo U19 a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Palermo U19 Clean Sheet 68%
Spezia U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Palermo U19 Spezia U19
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 15
Draws 11 3
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.13 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2026 Primavera 2
Palermo U19 vs Spezia U19
1:1
Nov 8, 2025 Primavera 2
Spezia U19 vs Palermo U19
3:1
Apr 19, 2025 Primavera 2
Palermo U19 vs Spezia U19
2:1
Nov 23, 2024 Primavera 2
Spezia U19 vs Palermo U19
0:0
Feb 10, 2024 Primavera 2
Palermo U19 vs Spezia U19
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Palermo U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Di Gregorio A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Spezia U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferrazza D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Palermo U19 95 / 100
Spezia U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Palermo U19 Spezia U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Palermo U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Palermo U19's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Spezia U19 has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Palermo U19 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Palermo U19 VS Spezia U19
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Palermo U19

(Home)
09 May
Palermo U19
0 : 1
Perugia U19
02 May
Avellino U19
3 : 1
Palermo U19
25 Apr
Palermo U19
1 : 1
Catanzaro U19
18 Apr
Palermo U19
7 : 1
Crotone U19
11 Apr
Monopoli U19
1 : 1
Palermo U19
Page 1 of 6

Spezia U19

(Away)
09 May
Pisa U19
2 : 1
Spezia U19
02 May
Spezia U19
2 : 1
Ternana U19
25 Apr
Benevento U19
1 : 0
Spezia U19
18 Apr
Empoli U19
4 : 0
Spezia U19
11 Apr
Spezia U19
1 : 3
Perugia U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Como U19 30 18 7 5 58:31 61
2 Lecco U19 30 18 6 6 65:50 60
3 Modena U19 30 16 7 7 55:38 55
4 AlbinoLeffe U19 30 14 5 11 58:59 47
5 Reggiana U19 30 13 7 10 58:44 46
6 Pro Vercelli U19 30 14 4 12 44:46 46
7 Entella U19 30 10 13 7 47:38 43
8 Sampdoria U19 30 12 5 13 57:48 41
9 Vicenza U19 30 10 8 12 45:53 38
10 Sudtirol U19 30 9 10 11 36:37 37
11 Udinese U19 30 9 9 12 53:50 36
12 Cittadella U19 30 9 9 12 42:49 36
13 Renate U19 30 7 12 11 34:44 33
14 Union Brescia U19 30 9 3 18 31:46 30
15 Venezia U19 30 6 8 16 32:63 26
16 Padova U19 30 6 7 17 34:53 25
Promotion - Primavera 1 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Empoli U19 30 23 5 2 74:19 74
2 Perugia U19 30 16 7 7 47:27 55
3 Pescara U19 30 15 7 8 51:37 52
4 Avellino U19 30 13 12 5 54:36 51
5 Pisa U19 30 13 9 8 54:41 48
6 Spezia U19 30 15 3 12 55:43 48
7 Catanzaro U19 30 14 6 10 42:35 48
8 Benevento U19 30 13 5 12 42:50 44
9 Ternana U19 30 11 9 10 51:54 42
10 Monopoli U19 30 10 7 13 39:50 37
11 Bari U19 30 9 8 13 42:42 35
12 Ascoli U19 30 8 9 13 47:50 33
13 Palermo U19 30 5 12 13 35:43 27
14 Cosenza U19 30 6 9 15 32:62 27
15 Salernitana U19 30 6 6 18 28:62 24
16 Crotone U19 30 1 10 19 20:62 13
Promotion - Primavera 1 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)