Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Palermo vs Avellino

Italy Italy

Serie B 2025/2026 Stadio Renzo Barbera, Palermo
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Palumbo A.
Assist: Le Douaron J.
33'
Sub
Palmiero L. In: Le Borgne A.
Out: Palmiero L.
37'
Izzo A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie B 2025/2026 game between Palermo and Avellino finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Palermo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Palermo
6%
Draws
90%
Avellino
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Avellino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Palermo come out ahead of Avellino on wins alone.
  • Model gives Avellino a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Palermo Clean Sheet 10%
Avellino Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Palermo Avellino
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 12
Draws 9 5
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 2.63 4.88
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 4.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Serie B
Palermo vs Avellino
2:0
Dec 20, 2025 Serie B
Avellino vs Palermo
2:2
Mar 13, 2022 Serie C - Group C
Avellino vs Palermo
1:2
Oct 31, 2021 Serie C - Group C
Palermo vs Avellino
1:1
May 26, 2021 Serie C - Group A
Avellino vs Palermo
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Palermo Compare

Top Goalscorer Palumbo A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ranocchia F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Avellino Compare

Avg xG / game 4.44
Avg xA / game 2.71

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Palermo 10 / 100
Avellino 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Palermo Avellino

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AVE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Palermo's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Avellino's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Palermo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Palermo VS Avellino
2.63 Goals Scored 4.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Palermo

(Home)
29 Jul
Palermo
1 : 1
Iraklis FC
25 Jul
Palermo
2 : 2
Nurnberg
22 Jul
Palermo
7 : 0
Paradiso
18 Jul
Ingolstadt
1 : 0
Palermo
15 Jul
Palermo
8 : 0
FC Gherdeina
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Avellino

(Away)
01 Aug
Lazio
6 : 3
Avellino
28 Jul
Avellino
3 : 1
Real Forio 2014
26 Jul
Sambenedettese
0 : 5
Avellino
22 Jul
Avellino
3 : 1
Scafatese
19 Jul
Avellino
24 : 0
Castel di Sangro
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Venezia382410477:3182
2Frosinone382312376:3481
3Monza382210661:3276
4Palermo382012661:3372
5Catanzaro381514962:5159
6Modena3815101349:3655
7Juve Stabia381118944:4551
8Avellino3813101543:5549
9Mantova381371845:5746
10Padova3812101639:4946
11Cesena3812101645:5646
12Carrarese3810141447:5244
13Sampdoria3811111635:4844
14Entella3810121636:5142
15Empoli389141547:5441
16Sudtirol388171338:4841
17Bari3810101838:6040
18Reggiana389101936:5637
19Spezia388111943:5935
20Pescara387141751:6635
Promotion - Serie A (Main)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Out)