Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Palermo vs Avellino

Italy Italy

Serie B 2025/2026 Stadio Renzo Barbera, Palermo
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Palumbo A.
Assist: Le Douaron J.
33'
Sub
Palmiero L. In: Le Borgne A.
Out: Palmiero L.
37'
Izzo A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie B 2025/2026 game between Palermo and Avellino finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Palermo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Palermo
20%
Draws
28%
Avellino
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Palermo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Palermo come out ahead of Avellino on wins alone.
  • Model gives Palermo a 52% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Palermo Clean Sheet 68%
Avellino Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Palermo Avellino
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 19 14
Draws 6 4
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 2.06 2.9
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Serie B
Avellino vs Palermo
1:1
Apr 5, 2026 Serie B
Palermo vs Avellino
2:0
Dec 20, 2025 Serie B
Avellino vs Palermo
2:2
Mar 13, 2022 Serie C - Group C
Avellino vs Palermo
1:2
Oct 31, 2021 Serie C - Group C
Palermo vs Avellino
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Palermo Compare

Top Goalscorer Palumbo A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ranocchia F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Avellino Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Palermo 95 / 100
Avellino 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Palermo Avellino

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Palermo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Palermo's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Recent resilience: Palermo stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Avellino let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Scoring Trends

Palermo VS Avellino
2 Goals Scored 2.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Palermo

(Home)
19 Sept
Palermo
2 : 1
Padova
13 Sept
Avellino
1 : 1
Palermo
07 Sept
Palermo
3 : 1
Sampdoria
03 Sept
Palermo
5 : 2
Mantova
30 Aug
Arezzo
2 : 3
Palermo
Page 1 of 7

Avellino

(Away)
19 Sept
Ascoli
3 : 1
Avellino
13 Sept
Avellino
1 : 1
Palermo
06 Sept
Modena
0 : 1
Avellino
29 Aug
Avellino
3 : 0
Vicenza
22 Aug
Avellino
1 : 2
Arezzo
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Venezia 38 24 10 4 77:31 82
2 Frosinone 38 23 12 3 76:34 81
3 Monza 38 22 10 6 61:32 76
4 Palermo 38 20 12 6 61:33 72
5 Catanzaro 38 15 14 9 62:51 59
6 Modena 38 15 10 13 49:36 55
7 Juve Stabia 38 11 18 9 44:45 51
8 Avellino 38 13 10 15 43:55 49
9 Mantova 38 13 7 18 45:57 46
10 Padova 38 12 10 16 39:49 46
11 Cesena 38 12 10 16 45:56 46
12 Carrarese 38 10 14 14 47:52 44
13 Sampdoria 38 11 11 16 35:48 44
14 Entella 38 10 12 16 36:51 42
15 Empoli 38 9 14 15 47:54 41
16 Sudtirol 38 8 17 13 38:48 41
17 Bari 38 10 10 18 38:60 40
18 Reggiana 38 9 10 19 36:56 37
19 Spezia 38 8 11 19 43:59 35
20 Pescara 38 7 14 17 51:66 35
Promotion - Serie A (Main)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Out)