Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Palermo vs Juve Stabia

Italy Italy

Serie B Stadio Renzo Barbera, Palermo
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Johnsen D.
Assist: Pohjanpalo J.
45'
Cassandro T.
46'
Segre J.

AI Match Summary

Palermo in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Palermo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Palermo
20%
Draws
42%
Juve Stabia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Juve Stabia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Palermo lately — more wins on the board than Juve Stabia.
  • Model gives Palermo a 38% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Palermo Clean Sheet 68%
Juve Stabia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Palermo Juve Stabia
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 18 11
Draws 8 12
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1.97 1.42
Goals Conceded 0.91 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Serie B
Palermo vs Juve Stabia
1:0
Mar 17, 2026 Serie B
Palermo vs Juve Stabia
2:2
Nov 8, 2025 Serie B
Juve Stabia vs Palermo
1:0
May 17, 2025 Serie B
Juve Stabia vs Palermo
1:0
Jan 19, 2025 Serie B
Palermo vs Juve Stabia
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Palermo Compare

Top Goalscorer Johnsen D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Juve Stabia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Palermo 50 / 100
Juve Stabia 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Palermo Juve Stabia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Palermo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Palermo's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Juve Stabia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 31 matches.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Palermo stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Palermo VS Juve Stabia
2.75 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Palermo

(Home)
17 Aug
Palermo
2 : 0
Lecce
11 Aug
Juventus
2 : 0
Palermo
07 Aug
Melbourne City
0 : 2
Palermo
29 Jul
Palermo
1 : 1
Iraklis FC
25 Jul
Palermo
2 : 2
Nurnberg
Page 1 of 7

Juve Stabia

(Away)
16 Aug
Frosinone
4 : 1
Juve Stabia
09 Aug
Juve Stabia
0 : 2
Campobasso
06 Aug
Cavese
0 : 1
Juve Stabia
31 Jul
Juve Stabia
5 : 1
Ischia
26 Jul
Potenza
0 : 4
Juve Stabia
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vicenza 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
2 Mantova 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
3 Modena 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
4 Arezzo 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
5 Sudtirol 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
6 Empoli 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
7 Cesena 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Ascoli 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Pisa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Padova 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Sampdoria 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Palermo 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 Verona 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 Catanzaro 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
15 Avellino 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
16 Carrarese 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
17 Benevento 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
18 Cremonese 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
19 Entella 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
20 Juve Stabia 0 0 0 0 0:0 -2
Promotion - Serie A 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B (Play Out)