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Palermo vs Mantova - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Coppa Italia Stadio Renzo Barbera, Palermo
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Strefezza G.
Assist: Gomes C.
14'
Sub
Trimboli S. In: Kouda R.
Out: Trimboli S.
43'
Ilie R.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 5-2. This leg finished 5-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Palermo
30%
Draws
27%
Mantova
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Palermo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Mantova haven't matched Palermo's recent run of results.
  • Palermo are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Palermo have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Palermo, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Palermo Clean Sheet 16%
Mantova Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Palermo Mantova
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 19 16
Draws 8 5
Losses 4 8
Goals Scored 2.19 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 17, 2026 Serie B
Mantova vs Palermo
0:2
Sep 3, 2026 Coppa Italia
Palermo vs Mantova
5:2
Mar 4, 2026 Serie B
Palermo vs Mantova
2:1
Jan 11, 2026 Serie B
Mantova vs Palermo
1:1
Feb 16, 2025 Serie B
Palermo vs Mantova
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Palermo Compare

Top Goalscorer Pohjanpalo J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Strefezza G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Mantova Compare

Top Goalscorer Ruocco F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kouda R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Palermo 84 / 100
Mantova 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Palermo Mantova

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Palermo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Palermo found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (31 games).

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Palermo went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Mantova let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Palermo VS Mantova
2.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Palermo

(Home)
06 Nov
Ascoli
1 : 1
Palermo
01 Nov
Palermo
3 : 1
Vicenza
28 Oct
Pisa
3 : 3
Palermo
25 Oct
Palermo
2 : 1
Carrarese
17 Oct
Mantova
0 : 2
Palermo
Page 1 of 7

Mantova

(Away)
31 Oct
Modena
1 : 1
Mantova
27 Oct
Mantova
0 : 2
Cremonese
24 Oct
Entella
0 : 1
Mantova
17 Oct
Mantova
0 : 2
Palermo
11 Oct
Catanzaro
1 : 3
Mantova
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Inter -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Genoa -
TBD -
Ascoli 3
Potenza 1
Catanzaro -
TBD -
TBD -
Sudtirol -
Bologna -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lazio -
TBD -
TBD -
Mantova -
Lecce -
TBD -
TBD -
Palermo -
Torino -
TBD -
TBD -
Carrarese -
Monza -
TBD -
TBD -
Avellino -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AC Milan -
Cremonese -
TBD -
TBD -
Sampdoria -
Vicenza 1
Catania 2
TBD -
Parma -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Como -
AS Roma -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cagliari -
TBD -
Arezzo 2
Union Brescia 0
Verona -
TBD -
TBD -
Entella -
Juventus -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sassuolo -
TBD -
TBD -
Cesena -
Frosinone -
TBD -
TBD -
Juve Stabia -
Udinese -
TBD -
TBD -
Padova -
Venezia -
TBD -
TBD -
Modena -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Atalanta -
Pisa -
TBD -
TBD -
Empoli -
Benevento 5
Ravenna 3
TBD -
Fiorentina -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Napoli -
1/32-finals
Inter -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Genoa 4
Ascoli 1
Catanzaro 2
Sudtirol 3
Bologna -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lazio 0
Mantova 2
Lecce 0
Palermo 2
Torino 1
Carrarese 0
Monza 3
Avellino 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AC Milan -
Cremonese 2
Sampdoria 0
Catania 0
Parma 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Como -
AS Roma -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cagliari 1
Arezzo 0
Verona 3
Entella 2
Juventus -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sassuolo 3
Cesena 0
Frosinone 4
Juve Stabia 1
Udinese 1
Padova 0
Venezia 3
Modena 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Atalanta -
Pisa 2
Empoli 1
Benevento 1
Fiorentina 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Napoli -
1/16-finals
Inter -
TBD -
Genoa 1
Sudtirol 0
Bologna -
TBD -
Mantova 2
Palermo 5
Torino 0
Monza 1
TBD -
AC Milan -
Cremonese 2
Parma 0
TBD -
Como -
AS Roma -
TBD -
Cagliari 1
Verona 2
Juventus -
TBD -
Sassuolo 2
Frosinone 1
Udinese 2
Venezia 1
TBD -
Atalanta -
Pisa 0
Fiorentina 3
TBD -
Napoli -
1/8-finals
Inter -
Genoa -
Bologna -
Palermo -
Monza -
AC Milan -
Cremonese -
Como -
AS Roma -
Verona -
Juventus -
Sassuolo -
Udinese -
Atalanta -
Fiorentina -
Napoli -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -