Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Palermo vs Padova

Italy Italy

Serie B Stadio Renzo Barbera, Palermo
Sat, Sep 19, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Palermo host Padova in the Serie B. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Padova have shipped 1.52 goals a game lately, while Palermo have conceded 1.1 and scored 2.13. Head-to-head, Palermo have won 4 to Padova's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 21, 2026, ending 0:1. xG projections (1.94 - 1.19) back Palermo to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Palermo
15%
Draws
27%
Padova
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Palermo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Palermo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Palermo's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Palermo here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Palermo Clean Sheet 20%
Padova Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Palermo Padova
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 18 10
Draws 6 5
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 2.13 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Serie B
Padova vs Palermo
0:1
Dec 27, 2025 Serie B
Palermo vs Padova
1:0
Jun 12, 2022 Serie C - Group B
Palermo vs Padova
1:0
Jun 5, 2022 Serie C - Group B
Padova vs Palermo
0:1
Apr 22, 2019 Serie B
Palermo vs Padova
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Palermo 85 / 100
Padova 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Palermo Padova

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Palermo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Palermo's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Palermo has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Padova let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Palermo VS Padova
2 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Palermo

(Home)
07 Sept
Palermo
3 : 1
Sampdoria
03 Sept
Palermo
5 : 2
Mantova
30 Aug
Arezzo
2 : 3
Palermo
23 Aug
Palermo
1 : 0
Juve Stabia
17 Aug
Palermo
2 : 0
Lecce
Page 1 of 6

Padova

(Away)
12 Sept
Padova
1 : 0
Ascoli
06 Sept
Cremonese
3 : 1
Padova
29 Aug
Padova
1 : 1
Verona
23 Aug
Pisa
0 : 1
Padova
15 Aug
Udinese
1 : 0
Padova
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palermo 3 3 0 0 7:3 9
2 Sudtirol 4 2 2 0 5:2 8
3 Mantova 3 2 1 0 6:3 7
4 Modena 4 2 1 1 6:3 7
5 Ascoli 4 2 1 1 4:3 7
6 Padova 4 2 1 1 4:4 7
7 Arezzo 4 2 0 2 5:9 6
8 Cesena 4 1 3 0 6:5 6
9 Pisa 4 2 0 2 6:6 6
10 Avellino 3 2 0 1 5:2 6
11 Empoli 4 2 0 2 3:4 6
12 Vicenza 4 1 2 1 6:8 5
13 Benevento 4 1 1 2 5:5 4
14 Entella 4 1 1 2 7:6 4
15 Cremonese 4 1 1 2 5:7 4
16 Verona 4 1 1 2 8:6 4
17 Catanzaro 4 1 0 3 4:7 3
18 Juve Stabia 4 1 1 2 3:6 2
19 Sampdoria 3 0 1 2 3:6 1
20 Carrarese 4 0 1 3 2:5 1
Promotion - Serie A 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B (Play Out)